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NASCAR at Charlotte: Odds, stats, prediction, sleepers, fantasy drivers for Bank of America 500

Betting favorites and fantasy sleepers for Sunday's Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

NEWS
05 Oct 2017, 03:59 IST
14
Martin Truex Jr Toyota Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Tales of the Turtles 400 17092017
Martin Truex Jr

The NASCAR Cup Series returns to an intermediate track Sunday at Charlotte and Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, Kyle Larson and Jimmie Johnson couldn't be happier. 

Playoff leader Truex has been the best of the best at 1.5-mile tracks this season and has led just over 40 percent of all laps at Charlotte over the past five races there. Over the last seven 1.5-mile tracks, Truex owns a whopping four wins with a 3.3 average finish and 765 laps led. He was odds-on favorite and our pick to win the Bank of America 500 Sunday. 

Busch could give Truex a run for his money in the Round of 12 opener. His average running position (9.7) and driver rating (105.6) ranks second best among active drivers at Charlotte although he has never won a points-paying race at the track. Busch is the hottest driver in the Cup Series having won the past two races and three of his last six, while Larson has been a close second with a 6.0 average finish dating back to the Pure Michigan 400.

Larson has struggled in eight career starts at Charlotte, posting one top five, two top 10s and a 19.8 average finish. However, throwing out the Coca-Cola 600, Larson has a 3.2 average finish over the six previous 1.5-mile tracks this season. 

Defending race winner Johnson will attempt to add to his record of eight Charlotte wins Sunday. Carrying momentum from a third-place finish at Dover Sunday, Johnson finally may be getting hot for a playoff run. 

In 32 career starts at Charlotte, Johnson also claims 15 top fives, 19 top 10s and a 12.7 average finish. He owns the top Charlotte driver rating (110.4) and average running position (8.0) of all Cup Series drivers.

What are the Las Vegas odds for the NASCAR race at Charlotte?

Here are the race odds according to Westgate Sportsbook:

Martin Truex Jr. 2/1
Kyle Busch 7/2
Kyle Larson 6/1
Kevin Harvick 10/1
Denny Hamlin 10/1
Chase Elliott 10/1
Brad Keselowski 12/1
Jimmie Johnson 10/1
Matt Kenseth 15/1
Erik Jones 25/1
Ryan Blaney 30/1
Joey Logano 40/1
Kurt Busch 50/1
Jamie McMurray 60/1
Clint Bowyer 80/1
Daniel Suarez 80/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 100/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 200/1
Ryan Newman 200/1
Kasey Kahne 200/1
Paul Menard 500/1
Trevor Bayne 500/1
Ty Dillon 500/1
Aric Almirola 500/1
AJ Allmendinger 1000/1
Chris Buscher 1000/1
Danica Patrick 500/1
Michael McDowell 1000/1
Field (all others) 300/1

Who are the sleepers to win the Bank of America 500 at Charlotte?

Ryan Blaney gets another chance to win at a 1.5-mile track after performing well at them early in the season. The Wood Brothers Racing driver finished fourth at Kansas after winning Stage 2 and leading 83 laps. At Texas, he led a race-high 148 laps and won the contest’s first two stages.

Kurt Busch is out of the playoffs but he'll be racing hard as sponsorship questions loom for next season. Over the past five races at Charlotte, Busch owns a 7.0 average finish with 119 laps led. 

Which drivers are best for fantasy NASCAR in Charlotte?

Kevin Harvick is known for being dominant at 1.5-mile tracks. Brad Keselowski, who has shown great speed this season and won earlier this year on a similar layout at Atlanta, has led the third-most laps (1,043) at at 1.5-mile tracks since the start of the 2015 season. 

Chase Elliott nearly scored his first win at Dover, and despite ugly numbers at Charlotte, his first win could come Sunday. In four career starts at Charlotte, Elliott has a high finish of eighth. He crashed out of his last two races there after starting both third. He led 103 laps in last year’s Bank of America 500 and if he can stay out of trouble, Elliott should have a top-five finish. 

Looking to save some salary? Draft Trevor Bayne. The Roush Fenway driver has had a streak of finishing 13th or better in the first four 1.5-mile races this season. He was 16th in the Coca-Cola 600 despite car damage. 

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