NASCAR at Kansas 2017: Odds, key stats, prediction, sleepers, fantasy drivers to watch
Martin Truex Jr. will attempt to become the second driver to sweep a track this year in Sundayâ€™s Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway as four additional drivers are eliminated from playoff contention.
Not only has Truex been dominant all season, he has elite results at 1.5-mile tracks such as Kansas where heÂ led 104 laps on his way to victory there in May. Over the past eight races at intermediate tracks, Truex has five wins with an incredibleÂ 3.0 average finish andÂ 856 laps led. He's the favorite to win Sunday and is our pick to win, althoughÂ Kyle Larson, Kyle Busch and Chase Elliott could give Truex a run for his money.Â
While Larson is in position to advance to the next round of the playoffs, Busch is currently ninth on the Playoff Grid, seven points behind Jimmie Johnson on the cutoff line.
Busch gets the chance to race his way into the Round of 8 on Sunday at Kansas Speedway, where he has finished no worse than fifth â€” including a win â€” over his last five races. It's no wonder he is listed as the co-favorite for Sunday's race (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN).Â
What are the Las Vegas odds for the NASCAR race at Kansas?
Here are the race odds according to Westgate Sportsbook:
Kyle Busch 11/4
Kyle Larson 6/1
Kevin Harvick 6/1
Denny Hamlin 12/1
Chase Elliott 10/1
Jimmie Johnson 12/1
Matt Kenseth 12/1
Brad Keselowski 15/1
Ryan Blaney 30/1
Kurt Busch 35/1
Erik Jones 40/1
Clint Bowyer 60/1
Jamie McMurray 60/1
Joey Logano 60/1
Daniel Suarez 100/1
Austin DillonÂ 100/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr.Â 200/1
Kasey Kahne 200/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300/1
Ryan Newman 500/1
Paul Menard 500/1
Trevor Bayne 1000/1
Ty Dillon 1000/1
Chris BuescherÂ 1000/1
Danica Patrick 1000/1
AJ Allmendinger 1000/1
Aric AlmirolaÂ 1000/1
Michael McDowellÂ 5000/1
Field (all others) 1000/1
Key stats to know for the Hollywood Casino 400Â at Kansas
Kansas Speedway's layout and banking is most similar to Las Vegas Motor Speedway, whereÂ Martin Truex, Jr.,Â Brad Keselowski (twice), andÂ Kevin Harvick have won the past four races.Â
Just twoÂ Cup Series races at Kansas Speedway have been won from a starting position outside the top 20, 21st (Tony Stewart, 2006) and 25th (Keselowski, 2011).
Kasey Kahne is the only non-playoff driver with a top-eight driver rating at Kansas.Â
Who are the sleepers to win the NASCAR race at Kansas?
Listed at 30/1, Ryan Blaney is still in playoff contention and finished fourth at the Kansas May race with 83 laps led. He also has a fifth-place finish at Kansas last year and has led 231 laps at 1.5-mile tracks this season.Â
Joey Logano has had a down season but at 60/1 he is worth taking a shot on at a track where he has two wins and six top-fives.Â All six of his Kansas top-fives came in his last eight races and he is coming off a fourth-place finish at Talladega where he led 59 laps.Â
Which drivers are best for fantasy NASCAR in Kansas?
InÂ 23 Kansas starts, Kevin Harvick claims two wins, seven top-fives and 12 top-10s. He boasts the series-best average running position (9.7) at Kansas among active drivers and ranks third in average finish (8.6) and driver rating (105.8).
Matt Kenseth enters Sundayâ€™s cutoff raceÂ eight points behind Jimmie Johnson for the final transfer spot to the Round of 8. In 23 races,Â Kenseth owns two wins, seven top-fives and 13 top-10s. Among active drivers at the 1.5-mile track, he ranks second in driver rating (106.5), third in average running position (9.9) and fourth in average finish (11.0).
Jimmie Johnson, who owns the best driver's rating at Kansas, alsoÂ leads the series in top-10 finishes at the track with 17. He also leads all active drivers withÂ an average finishing position of 9.59.
Looking to save salary? Take a chance onÂ Danica Patrick, Aric Almirola and Michael McDowell.Â