NASCAR at Martinsville: Odds, key stats, prediction, sleepers, fantasy drivers to watch
Betting favorites and fantasy sleepers for Sunday's First Data 500 at Martinsville Speedway.
NASCAR heads to Martinsville Speedway Sunday to kick off the Round of 8 in the playoffs with just three races left until the title race at Homestead.
At 0.526 miles in length, Martinsville is the shortest track on the Cup circuit. Because of its size and shape — 55-foot width, 588-foot turns (12 degrees of banking) and flat 800-foot straightaways — race cars rarely reach 100 mph. The track is unlike any other on the schedule and those that have been successful at the track are piling up some impressive numbers.
Here is a quick rundown of the past three races at Martinsville. Brad Keselowski overtook Kyle Busch with 43 laps remaining to win earlier this season. Jimmie Johnson won the fall Cup race a year ago for his ninth victory at the Virginia track. Kyle Busch led 352 laps in the 2016 spring race for his first Cup win at the Paperclip, capping a two-day run that also included a victory in the Camping World Truck Series race on Saturday.
It's no wonder those three drivers join five-time winner Denny Hamlin as the favorites for Sunday's race (3 p.m. ET, NBCSN).
What are the Las Vegas odds for the NASCAR race at Martinsville?
Here are the race odds according to Westgate Sportsbook:
Denny Hamlin 9/2
Brad Keselowski 9/2
Jimmie Johnson 7/1
Martin Truex Jr. 10/1
Kyle Larson 10/1
Joey Logano 10/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Chase Elliott 15/1
Matt Kenseth 18/1
Clint Bowyer 30/1
Jamie McMurray 40/1
Ryan Blaney 40/1
Erik Jones 60/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 80/1
Ryan Newman 80/1
Daniel Suarez 100/1
Kurt Busch 100/1
AJ Allmendinger 100/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Kasey Kahne 100/1
Aric Almirola 200/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 200/1
Paul Menard 300/1
Chris Buescher 300/1
Trevor Bayne 500/1
Ty Dillon 1000/1
Danica Patrick 1000/1
Michael McDowell 1000/1
Field (all others) 500/1
Who is going to win Sunday's NASCAR race at Martinsville?
Looking for our fourth correct pick over the last five races, we are trusting in Kyle Busch to get the job done Sunday. Over the last four races at Martinsville, he's finished fifth or better. In addition to his 2016 spring race win, he led 274 laps en route to finishing second this April.
In 24 career starts at Martinsville, Busch owns one win, 12 top fives, 13 top 10s and a 13.6 average finish. He ranks third in Martinsville average running position (11.6) and driver rating (101.1) among active drivers.
Which drivers should I pick for fantasy NASCAR at Martinsville?
Brad Keselowski has finished second or better in three of his last five races at Martinsville and has placed fifth or better in four of his last five races there.
Denny Hamlin owns 12 top fives and 17 top 10s (74 percent) in 23 races at Martinsville. He ranks second among active drivers in Martinsville average finish (10.1), average running position (9.8) and driver rating (106.6).
Hendrick Motorsports has won the last three playoffs races at Martinsville since the “win and advance” era was implemented in 2014. Jimmie Johnson has nine wins there and Chase Elliott is on the doorstep of his first win. The No. 24 driver finished third and led 20 laps in the April race and has a win with an average finish of 7.2 in four truck starts at the track.
Paul Menard ($6,600 on DraftKings), Aric Almirola ($5,900), Michael McDowell ($5,800), and deep sleeper Cole Whitt ($5,100) are some drivers to include in your lineup to save room for the elite options.