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Rio Olympics 2016 Archery: Rating the Indian athletes' chances of winning a medal

Analysis of Indian archery's chances for a medal at the Rio Olympics.

Deepika Kumari
Deepika Kumari will look to make amends for her dismal showing at London

It’s just a few hours before the first arrow of the Rio Olympics 2016 hits its target in the ranking round on August 5. Surely fans are filled with tension, trepidation and excitement as they wait eagerly to know what lies ahead for the Indian archers.

After all, the memories of the 2012 London Olympics are not something they would like to remember. A heightened expectation of winning medals amounted to nothing as the Indian archers floundered on the hallowed turf of the Lord’s Cricket Ground, unable to acclimatize themselves to the blustery conditions and the burgeoning pressure.

Also Read: Rio Olympics 2016, Archery: Rules, format and point system for Olympic Games

Can the Rio 2016 Games help to alleviate that pain? Are our archers prepared enough to stand on the podium and perhaps get a much-awaited opportunity for redemption?

Here we rate their chances as they embark on a medal mission in Brazil:


1. Deepika Kumari

Medal chances: 40%

Background:

Ranked World No. 1 at only 18 years of age, Deepika Kumari found the huge expectations of a nation of more than a billion at the 2012 London Olympics overwhelming. With the whole world watching her, she crumbled under the weight and all her hopes were smashed to smithereens with her exit in the first round.

With her fall, India’s maiden Olympic medal ambitions in archery were blown away just like the high winds on that that fateful day in July, 2012 that swept away Deepika’s dreams.

The Resurgence:

She was left shaken by it and her fall from grace was fast. Deepika, who used to wear her confidence on her sleeve, fumbled and stumbled at every corner. The slide saw her slipping down to 19th position in the rankings and the Indian archery’s erstwhile blue-eyed girl was left out of the squad of two of the World Cups the following year.

The prodigious talent was forced to return to her basics to single out the root cause of her problems. There was a technical mistake in her anchor position alignment. Help poured in from the 1992 Barcelona Olympic team gold medallist Juan Carlos Holgado. He not only turned her focus on the much-needed rectification of her mistakes but even did his bit of soothing her nerves ahead of a vital match.

Deepika started feeling the positive changes soon after. In her own words, the Ranchi girl admitted: “In the last Olympics I was not that experienced. I couldn’t enjoy my game because I lost the first match. But now I have become more matured and have gathered valuable experience. I have improved a lot.”

The Archery Association of India (AAI) too stepped in to help the country’s top archers handle high-pressure situations by organising a mental training camp with the US-based Lorenzo Beltrame. Subsequent yoga sessions too played a major role in strengthening their mental toughness.

Recent performances:

With her confidence back, Kumari played a key role in delivering the team silver medal at the 2015 World Championships in Copenhagen that also saw the trio booking the much-coveted Olympic spot. And she followed it up with another silver – this time in individual – at the Mexico World Cup final as well as a bronze in mixed team event at the Asian Championships.

She started the 2016 season in stellar fashion. At the Shanghai World Cup qualifying stage, she equalled the world record tally of 686 out of 720 set by the reigning Olympic gold medallist Ki Bo Bae at the World University Games last year.

Caution: Deepika cannot give in to complacency

Deepika, though, cannot be complacent. There are still moments when she is unable to raise her game especially in the face of strong opposition and in blustery conditions. A prime example is her performance at the Antalya World Cup.

Also Read: 5 greatest Archers in Olympic history: The modern day Robin Hoods!

The wind at the coastal city did wreak havoc as she ended up in the ninth place in the individual competition. In the mixed section where she eventually won the silver medal alongside Atanu Das, her form kept fluctuating against the top-seeded pair of Choi Misun and Ku Bonchan and she even hit a lowly 6 which readily handed over the advantage to the formidable Koreans.

Prediction:

There is no doubt that as far as the performances of India’s individual archers are concerned, there is no one better to rely upon than this Ranchi girl. Time and again she has led India’s challenge and has put up a solid show.

However, realistically, as mentioned above, the 22-year-old does look vulnerable under pressure and her best has been coming mostly in team competition of late. That is corroborated by the fact that her average arrow is 9.2 and she currently lies outside the top 10 players at 12th.

It is extremely important for her to have a confidence-boosting start in the ranking round and get a favourable seeding. If she can do that, a semi-final should look a possibility.

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