NCAA Men's Coaches Poll Prediction after Week 17: Kansas tumbles, BYU is in

The new men's basketball coaches poll will come out on Monday, with several shifts in the rankings expected. Week 17 had several significant upsets and was most notable for top 20 teams struggling than for surprising potential newcomers to the top 25.

Most of the projected changes were incremental this week. A disappointing team (say, Kansas or Marquette) could move down a few slots, and a couple of teams behind them will take a step up. Still, every spot matters this close to March Madness, so let's dissect our projected coaches poll rankings after Week 17.

Projected Coaches Poll Top 25 Standings

Predicted Coaches' Poll Ranking	Team Name	Overall Record	Total Points	Ranking Last Week
1	Houston	26-3	800	1
2	Purdue	26-3	760	3
3	Uconn	26-3	759	2
4	Tennessee	23-6	750	4
5	Iowa State	23-6	615	6
6	Arizona	23-6	610	7
7	North Carolina	23-6	600	8
8	Marquette	22-7	550	5
9	Duke	23-6	470	10
10	Creighton	22-8	460	12
11	Kansas	21-8	420	9
12	Auburn	22-7	410	11
13	Baylor	21-8	370	14
14	Kentucky	21-8	360	15
15	Illinois	22-7	350	16
16	Alabama	20-9	340	13
17	South Carolina	24-5	310	18
18	San Diego State	22-7	260	19
19	St. Mary's	24-7	180	17
20	Gonzaga	24-6	150	22
21	Washington State	23-7	145	21
22	Utah State	24-5	130	23
23	South Florida	22-5	110	25
24	BYU	21-8	100	NR
25	Dayton	22-6	60	20

Top 25 upsets

Todd Golden and Florida fell out of our coaches' poll projection after a loss to South Carolina last week.

We have Florida dropping out of the top 25 after a loss to South Carolina. Meanwhile, Dayton had a rough second week and barely remained in the top 25.

The week's biggest story was Kansas taking a pair of losses, which caused some shake-up in the poll. Other top 25 teams that were defeated were Marquette, Auburn and Alabama.

Coaches poll: Changes in the top 10?

With UConn playing only one game this week, a snoozer to Seton Hall, and having claimed second over Purdue by a single ranking point, we expect the Boilermakers to move up this week.

Marquette slid from fifth down to eighth, and Creighton, off upsetting the Golden Eagles, got the bump into the top ten. Auburn could have moved in but suffered a loss to Tennessee.

Newcomers, er, Newcomer to the poll

We expect only one new team in the poll, and that's BYU, back in after delivering an upset of Kansas. Of course, the Cougars had just fallen out of the coaches top 25 last week. Given Dayton's struggle, keeping the team in was not a sure thing.

But here's a fact-- other than BYU, the other teams on the cusp of the top 25 all lost. Wake Forest, TCU, Texas Tech, Wisconsin? All suffered defeats this week.

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Are there any surprises in our projected coaches poll rankings? Any team looking particularly overrated or underrated as March Madness heats up? Let us hear your thoughts in the comments section below.