CFB analysts believe Texas Tech HC Joey McGuire's future is uncertain despite recent recruiting splurge

The future of Texas Tech football head coach Joey McGuire has been questioned by college football analysts Jim Dunaway, Ryan Brown and Lance Taylor. The trio discussed the pressure McGuire would be under for the new season on the Monday episode of the podcast, “The Next Round.”

Dunaway said:

“Joey McGuire, Texas Tech, we’re spending all this money. If we don’t win games this year. You don’t think they get rid of Joey McGuire? Or could?”

In response, Brown said:

“Could I? I mean, Lance, as you look up McGuire, I think you’re going to find a lot of seven and eight-win seasons. I think he’s been pretty consistently seven and five, eight and four. He’s in his fourth season there if I’m not mistaken. I think he’s done three seasons, and I think you’ll probably find seven and five, eight and four, seven and five.”

Taylor also responded:

“I guess it depends on what your expectations are for Texas Tech. I mean, if they were to go five and seven with the money they’re spending.”

There’s a lot of optimism surrounding the Red Raiders as they get set for their fourth season under Joey McGuire. The former Baylor assistant coach was named along with 25 other coaches on the 2025 Dodd Trophy Preseason Watch List.

Texas Tech’s new revenue-sharing model and the higher expectations set for Joey McGuire

Following an 8-5 finish last season, Texas Tech appears poised for a new era, propelled by a new payout model reportedly worth $55 million. A report by CBS Sports’ Brandon Marcello suggests the Red Raiders might be the most expensive college athletic program nationally next season.

The program will reportedly raise $14 million annually to fund a $20.5 million revenue-sharing model. The consequence of an investment this massive is that it puts pressure on the coach, and now Joey McGuire cannot afford another subpar season.

With major investment behind the program, Texas Tech fans expect a 10-win season from Mcguire. On3 ranks the Red Raiders' transfer class No. 1 nationally, led by edge rusher David Bailey, defensive lineman Lee Hunter and cornerback Brice Pollack.

McGuire has not been so lucky with his 2026 recruiting class, which is No. 22 nationally, according to On3. Notwithstanding, he recently landed a commitment from five-star offensive tackle Felix Ojo.

About the author

Kayode is a College and High School Sports writer at Sportskeeda since June 2023. Hailing from Nigeria, he has an undergraduate degree in Linguistics and African Languages, and has previously had stints as an entertainment and politics writer for around 7 months. Adept at creating content around historical perspectives, he strives to report stories based only on verified information. His mantra is - truth is always more important than sensationalism.

A fan of the Alabama Crimson Tide football team, Kayode admires how Nick Saban developed talent at the team and delivered consistent results, and hopes that the post-Saban era is just as fruitful. He is thoroughly impressed by Johnny Manziel’s talent, and feels that Shedeur Sanders is massively underrated. Nick Saban is his all-time favorite college coach.

While Kayode believes there is little to separate college and mainstream sports, pro leagues absorbing the best athletes leads to their quality being higher. Witnessing the Colorado Buffaloes’ hot streak at start the 2023 football season was one of his all-time favorite college sports moments.

When not writing, Kayode enjoys reading and watching sports documentaries. His most recent watch was "Sir Alex Ferguson: Never Give In."

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Edited by Alvin Amansec