Oklahoma vs Missouri prediction & betting tips - Nov. 9 | college football Week 11

Oklahoma vs. Missouri is projected to be one of the closest matchups of Week 11 of the 2024 college football season. The Missouri Tigers will host the Oklahoma Sooners in a battle between teams that have had their seasons slip away in recent weeks.

The Sooners are coming off a 59–14 win over Maine but were previously coming off a stretch where they had won only one of their previous five games. Despite starting the season with three straight wins, Oklahoma barely holds onto a positive record.

Missouri has a better record, but this team that once had playoff hopes has had them slip away recently. The Tigers are coming off an open week but had previously lost 34–0 to the No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide. Their other loss came three weeks earlier when they lost 41–10 to the No. 15 Texas A&M Aggies.

Oklahoma vs Missouri prediction

Models and experts agree that Oklahoma vs Missouri should be a close matchup. These are two above-average teams that have struggled lately but should be able to keep things competitive in a matchup with each other.

Missouri's biggest strength this season has been its defense. It started the season by getting two shutouts and held another team to three points earlier this year. Both of its losses came the only two times this year it has allowed more than 30 points.

The Tigers' offense has been up and down, but it has mostly struggled lately. They were shut out in their last matchup against Alabama and have been held to 21 points or less in three of the last four games.

Oklahoma has similarly struggled on offense this season, only eclipsing the 30-point threshold three times. However, things might become positive as the Sooners are coming off a 59-point performance against Maine on Saturday. The defense has been strong, holding opponents to less than 25 points on all but three occasions.

Heading into the game, analytical models and sportsbooks disagree. Oklahoma is the betting favorite with -153 odds and Missouri is the underdog with +128 odds. However, the Winning Team Model projects that Missouri has a 57.2% chance of winning the game. Our prediction is the Tigers will win a close game 23–20.

Oklahoma vs Missouri betting tips

Tip #1: Bet on Missouri to win (+128).

Tip #2: Bet on Missouri to cover the +3 point spread (-104).

Tip #3: Bet over the 41.5 point total (-112).

Oklahoma vs Missouri head-to-head

Although this is a long and storied rivalry between teams that have faced over 50 times, it has not been a close rivalry. Oklahoma has a huge 43-7-1 edge in the matchup. Although Missouri could pick up a win on Saturday, it does not change how much the Sooners have dominated over the years. Games between these teams date back to 1950.

Oklahoma last won the game between these two teams in 2011 38–28. Missouri's last win came in 2010 36–27.