College Football Playoff scenarios for 2019

Najee Harris
Najee Harris

#5 Georgia beats #1 LSU in the SEC Championship game

Georgia right now is the highest-ranked one-loss team in the nation
Georgia right now is the highest-ranked one-loss team in the nation

This seems to be the ultimate what-if question. While everybody else in the top seven could win out and make a somewhat compelling case for a playoff bid, we definitely know that these two top four teams will square off against each other and possibly throw another wrench into things. LSU was the number one team up until this most recent edition of the CFP rankings, when Ohio State leap-frogged them, while Georgia right now is the highest-ranked one-loss team in the nation.

Both of these SEC contenders are certainly among college football’s elite, as they find themselves among the ten best teams nationally when it comes to average scoring margin and have proven themselves inside a tough conference, as well as beating a top ten outside of that.

What differentiates these teams is the way they have been doing it. LSU features the second-highest scoring offense (46.9) in the country with the Heisman frontrunner Joe Burrow leading the show. Georgia on the other hand is surrendering the fewest points per game (10.1), with top five rankings in first downs allowed, third-down percentage and yards per play.

So this is a kind of a clash between two opposites when their strengths match up against each other, but what might decide this game is if the LSU defense, which has given up 20+ points in all but one game against Power Five teams, can get a couple of timely stops or takeaways against the Bulldogs attack.

I believe that LSU offense will be too much for UGA, because they have really become a balanced unit as Clyde Edwards-Helaire has averaged over 200 yards per game in his last four outings against SEC competition. If this game becomes somewhat of a shootout, I just don’t see Jake Fromm keep up with them, unless the Dawgs can control the clock with their rushing attack.

However, even if the Tigers lost a really close one or blew it this week against Texas A&M, I don’t see the committee keeping them out of the playoff. They are the only group to defeat four other top ten teams and have already proven themselves. Georgia on the other hand might actually drop out of the top six, especially if they don’t stay within a touchdown.

Quick Links

App download animated image Get the free App now