NASCAR insider picks Ford driver as favorite to win 2025 Xfinity race at Phoenix

The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series season heads to the Phoenix Raceway for the season's fourth race, the GOVX 200. Ahead of the race, NASCAR insider Bob Pockrass shared his prediction, picking his favorite to win and top-five finishes to win the 2025 Xfinity Series GOVX 200.

Pockrass picked Haas Factory Team Ford driver Sheldon Creed to take the checkered flag at Phoenix on Sunday, March 8. He has a good record at Phoenix with three top-five and six top-10 finishes at this track. He finished P3 last year at this event.

Rounding out Pockrass’ top-five predictions are Jesse Love, the defending NASCAR Xfinity Series champion Justin Allgaier, Austin Hill, and Harrison Burton.

Pockrass wrote on X:

“My Xfinity pick for today at Phoenix: Sheldon Creed ... top-5: Creed Love Allgaier Hill HBurton ET 11:30-CW App-Xfinity p&q 2-Prime-Cup p&q 4:30-CW-NASCAR Countdown 5:10-CW-Xfinity race 45-45-110”

Sheldon Creed finished third, 14th, and 12th in the first three races of this season. He has never won in the series and will look to win the first of his career this Saturday.

The 27-year-old Alpine, California, native is in his first season for Haas Factory Team, behind the wheel of the #00 Ford Mustang Dark Horse. Last year, he wrapped up the season in sixth place in the Xfinity Series points table.

Chandler Smith is the defending winner of the event. However, he hasn’t competed this year.

Catch NASCAR Xfinity Series drivers and teams in action at Phoenix Raceway on Sunday at 5 pm ET. Fans can witness the 200-mile NASCAR Xfinity Series race on CW and MRN.

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Who has higher odds of winning the NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Phoenix?

The part-time Xfinity Series driver Aric Almirola is the top favorite to win the GOVX 200 with +400 odds. The next closest in the odds table to win are Alex Bowman and Justin Allgaier at +400 odds on Saturday.

1. Aric Almirola: +400
2. Alex Bowman: +425
3. Justin Allgaier: +425
4. Connor Zilisch: +900
5. Sheldon Creed: +1000
6. Jesse Love: +1100
7. Sammy Smith: +1300
8. Sam Mayer: +1400
9. Taylor Gray: +1400
10. Carson Kvapil: +1500
11. Austin Hill: +1600
12. Brandon Jones: +1600
13. William Sawalich: +2000
14. Christian Eckes: +4000
15. Ryan Sieg: +5000
16. Nick Sanchez: +5000
17. Harrison Burton: +8000
18. Josh Williams: +30000
19. Daniel Dye: +30000
20. Dean Thompson: +30000
21. Jeb Burton: +30000
22. Anthony Alfredo: +30000
23. Matt DiBenedetto: +30000
24. Parker Retzlaff: +30000
25. Jeremy Clements: +50000
26. Kyle Sieg: +50000
27. Nick Leitz: +100000
28. Garrett Smithley: +100000
29. Joey Gase: +100000
30. Brennan Poole: +100000
31. Blaine Perkins: +100000
32. Kris Wright: +100000
33. Josh Bilicki: +100000
34. Ryan Ellis: +100000
35. Greg Van Alst: +100000
36. Thomas Annunziata: +100000
37. Dawson Cram: +100000
38. Brad Perez: +100000