Introduction

NBA betting is one of the most statistically-based sports. There is the basic and most common data, but if you go deeper into the figures, you can find useful advanced stats that can help you with your NBA betting. Before you place your bets, take a peek at the best NBA betting data. Even though stats are not the only factor in a valid handicapping system, it’s nearly impossible to win without using stats. Below are the NBA statistics that are essential when handicapping games.

Give At least Seven Stats

Average Scoring Margin

The average scoring margin is calculated by taking the team point differential in games. This takes into consideration all of the season’s final scores. The average scoring margin can be a positive or negative digit. The data is collated to calculate the average win or loss point difference versus their opponents. For example, clubs with the lowest average scoring margin in the league will have the highest negative number in the league. In this instance, they’ve frequently suffered lopsided defeats. Taking advantage of clubs with a negative average scoring margin but a good public perception, with overinflated lines, are bets to consider.

Offensive Rebounding

One of the most critical plays in an NBA game is offensive rebounds. When a player grabs an offensive rebound, he effectively saves a turnover. When a player misses a shot, and the defense grabs the rebound, it is the same as when a player commits a turnover. You should track offensive rebounding by the player, but you should also track it by the team. Some teams are stronger than others at obtaining offensive rebounds, but each player adds to the total team rebounding skill. When it comes to NBA online betting, rebounding is just as essential as scoring. Over half of all shots in practically every NBA game are missed; therefore, the side that can control the rebounding has a better probability of winning.

Rebounds Per Minute Average

Now that you understand why rebounding is so crucial, you will know how to evaluate rebounding abilities from player to player and team to team. You can use rebounds per minute for each player and team, but you can do the same thing with rebounds per 36 minutes. Tracking individual players and teams allows you to make modifications when a starting is unavailable. One thing to remember is that the third-string player generally only plays a few minutes every game on average. As a result, his rebounds per minute figures can vary significantly if he starts playing more minutes.

Turnover Percentage

When a team commits a turnover, they lose a scoring opportunity and offer the opposition side an extra chance to score. As a result, the NBA team with the fewest turnovers in a game has a greater chance of winning. Individual players can modify the team numbers, but most of the time, you only need to make changes after a deal involving players who play a lot of minutes. When tracking turnover percentage, you can divide the number of turnovers by the number of possessions.

Paints Scored in Paint Per Game Vs. Points Allowed in PPG

The list of NBA metrics to handicap includes efficiency around the rim. How many times have you placed a wager and your team failed to finish in the paint? It’s annoying, and it piles up toward the conclusion of a game. Teams with a significant edge in the paint tend to do well against the spread. In 2021-22, the Memphis Grizzlies led the league in points per game in the paint. They also covered the most games, going 52-29-1 for a 64.20% success rate. You must compare points in the paint each game versus the opposing team’s defense. Opponents that are pushed around in the paint on defense versus teams that are effective offensively in the paint typically struggle to cover spreads.

Effective Field Goal Percentage

Looking at a team’s field goal % is crucial, but if you want to go a step further, look at their effective field goal percentage. This NBA betting number, often known as eFG%, considers three-point attempts to be more relevant. Because the NBA is progressively becoming a three-point league, eFG% is more relevant than traditional field goal percentage. This isn’t the most popular NBA statistic, but it deserves greater consideration in this era of NBA basketball.

Home and Road Splits

When evaluating NBA games, you can use road or home numbers. A few players put up almost the same numbers at home and on the road, but only a few are able to put up identical numbers on the road as they do at home. You’re making a mistake if you use overall statistics to analyze NBA games. You should only utilize the visiting team’s road statistics and the home team’s home statistics. It’s also a good idea to break down the road data further.

Personal Fouls Per Game

Teams never want to give their opponents a free trip to the foul line. Keeping the NBA officials on your side is a fantastic strategy to win games. They avoided personal fouls, and while the Thunder were not a playoff club, they were one of the better bets against the spread. Cleveland was another team that avoided fouls and frequently covered spreads.

How Vital Are Assists?

Assists are highly crucial in the NBA. On the one hand, assists are significant, yet, are they more significant than turnovers or rebounds? Assists are one area where you really need to observe the players to understand how essential they are in offensive creation. A player who averages ten assists per game is definitely more significant in producing offense than a player who averages five assists per game, but you have to watch the players to see. You can’t afford to disregard assists for individuals or teams, but you also can’t place too much emphasis on the stats. It can take some time to strike the appropriate balance, but you must persevere until you strike the correct balance.

Possessions Per Game

Possessions per game are an essential number to consider when betting on the NBA, particularly when looking at NBA Over/Under figures. This is one of the NBA betting numbers to consider when calculating a team’s speed. Four of the top five NBA teams with the most possessions per game in 2021-22 generated money on the Over.

Conclusion

When handicapping NBA games, if you’re not careful, you might fall down the rabbit hole and never emerge out the other side. However, employing too few statistics is just as dangerous as using too many. Your handicapping results can increase quickly after you start utilizing the NBA data given in this review. Combine the data provided in this post with your existing NBA handicapping to see if you can get the same results I achieved.

NBA Statisitics FAQs

What are advanced stats?

Advanced Stats is a method of studying basketball that uses objective analysis. It is a more in-depth look at a simple box score that more precisely analyze a player’s or team’s talent and performance.

Are statistics available for download?

No. You cannot download NBA statistics, but you can view and use them on the internet.

What is player tracking?

Second Spectrum software records the movements of every player on the floor and the basketball 25 times per second using cameras positioned in the catwalks of every NBA venue.

What is pie?

A pie is a simple metric that accurately indicates performance at the team and player levels. The pie shows what percentage of game events the player or team achieves.

What is the pace?

Each team plays faster or slower, inflating or deflating player and team statistics. The average NBA team plays at a pace of a little over 94 possessions.

How to use NBA stats?

When betting using NBA stats, you should first find a game before the statistics are analyzed. From there, you can look for anything that stands out and that is not conclusive to help guide your wagers.

What are the most important stats for winning basketball games?

Some of the most important stats in winning basketball are highlighted above, including rebounding, percentage of field goals made, and more.

Can NBA stats change after the game?

Statistics for players or teams are updated simultaneously with the game and in real time.