San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds, Line, Pick, and Preview: November 18 | 2022 NCAAF Season

San Diego State v Utah
Jordan Byrd looking for an opening

The San Diego State Aztecs will be on the road for this Week 12 NCAA Football matchup as they take on the New Mexico Lobos in a Mountain West Conference game on Friday, November 18th.

The Aztecs (6-4, 4-2) are on a two-game winning streak after a 43-27 home victory against the San Jose State Spartans last Saturday. The Lobos (2-8, 0-6) are on a seven-game losing streak and are coming off a 35-3 road loss to the Air Force Falcons last Saturday as well.

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San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos: Match Details

Fixture: San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos

Date & Time: Friday, November 18, 9:45 p.m. EDT

Venue: University Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico

The Aztecs have struggled a bit offensively throughout the season, averaging 21.9 points for a total of 321.5 yards. Junior quarterback Jalen Mayden has played well as he has completed 65.9 percent of his passes for 1,253 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions this season thus far. The offense typically flows through the running game of guys like senior running back Jordan Byrd. Byrd has 76 rushes for 364 yards (4.8 yards per carry) with three rushing touchdowns as well as six receptions for 51 yards (8.5 yards per catch) with a receiving touchdown sprinkled in.

The Aztecs need to step up defensively as they are giving up 21.9 points on 353.1 total yards per game. They have to limit the amount of passing against them as they are allowing 235.3 passing yards per game so far. San Diego State needs to continue to improve from what they did last week. They allowed the Spartants to throw for 195 passing yards per game.

The Lobos are a brutal offensive program that has scored 14.7 points in 239.5 total yards with great help from their rushing attack. Sophomore running back Nathaniel Jones is leading the way with 108 rushing attempts for 466 yards (4.3 yards per carry) and two rushing touchdowns. They need to perform a lot better from the quarterback position to be taken seriously here.

Their defense has shown up decently this season as they have regularly held the opposition to 26.1 points per game. Teams are running the football well against them as they are allowing 165.1 rushing yards per game and need things to pick up there if they want to get stops.


San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos: Betting Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
San Diego State Aztecs-610-14 (-115)O 36 (-110)
New Mexico Lobos+460+14 (-105)U 36 (-110)

San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos: Pick

These teams have no ability to score that many points as the New Mexico Lobos are incapable of throwing the football well. Outside of the offensive explosion last week, the Aztecs have scored 14, 28, 23, and 16 points in the four games before San Jose State. The Lobos could not score more than 14 points in any of their last five games either.

Best Pick: Under 36 Points (-110)


San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos: Prediction

How can we trust New Mexico to score when they have no quarterback play to depend on? The Aztecs defend the run well with 117.8 rushing yards allowed, making them incapable of moving the football and scoring. San Diego State should score a couple of touchdowns to cover the spread, but not by that much.

Final Prediction: San Diego State -14 (-105)

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