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On Sunday night, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs host Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans in a matchup between the two AFC South division leaders.
Although Tennessee has won its last five games, the run is very much in jeopardy. After a bye week, the Chiefs play at home in prime time, and Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill's participation is in doubt because of an ankle injury.
Titans vs Chiefs Match Details
Fixture: Titans @ Chiefs
Date and Time: Sunday, November 6, 2022, at 8:20 PM ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
#1 Patrick Mahomes to complete a Pass to Over 8.5 Receivers Boosted from +150 to +170 with Pointsbet Sportsbook
The over/under for Mahomes' passing yards on Sunday is 276.5, which is 31.9 fewer than his 308.4 season average. Mahomes has passed for more than 276.5 yards in four of seven games. In four games this season, or 57.1 percent, he has surpassed his predicted passing yardage total.
Mahomes has more than one touchdown pass six times this season and has passed for a score in each of the seven games. In many instances, he is able to switch up his wide receiver combinations, and he typically completes throws to close to seven receivers per game.
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#2 Travis Kelce Over 73.5 Receiving Yards, Isaiah Pacheco Anytime TD Boosted and Over 45.5 Total Points Boosted to +750 with BetRivers Sportsbook
Four of Kelce's seven games this season (57.1 percent) have seen him accumulate more than 71.5 receiving yards. Kelce's season receiving yardage average of 79.0 is 114.9 yards less than his average point total (193.9).
In four of his last seven games, he has overachieved on his receiving yards prop bet. Kelce has a touchdown catch this season in four of seven games (including one occasion with more than one TD).
This season, Pacheco has had two games with more than 21.5 rushing yards. He has run for the same number of yards as his typical rushing pace (35.0 per game). In four games this season, Pacheco has only scored a single TD.
The Chiefs have averaged 23.5 points per game versus AFC opponents this season, while the Titans have yet to score more than 24 points in a game this year. But consider the outstanding offensive streak that the two clubs have recently experienced. Tonight, the Over doesn't seem like an improbable stat.
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#3 Kadarius Toney TD & Travis Kelce Over 4.5 Receptions Boosted to +550 with Caesars Sportsbook
With the addition of WR Kadarius Toney after the trade deadline, Patrick Mahomes now has a number of options in the passing game. Toney has been the receiving target three times this season, and he has caught two of them.
In the victory over San Francisco in Week 7, Kelce caught six of eight passes for 98 yards, exceeding his predetermined goal of 70.5 yards.
He has exceeded this goal in three of his previous four games and seven of his last 10 contests dating back to last season. Kelce had seven receptions for only 65 yards against the Titans in the previous campaign despite being targeted 12 times.
