Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction and Betting Tips – June 15 | 2025 WNBA Commissioner’s Cup 

The Las Vegas Aces will host the Phoenix Mercury for a Commissioner’s Cup clash on Sunday. The contest at the Michelob ULTRA Arena marks the first of four meetings between the two Western Conference teams in the 2025 regular season.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Preview, Prediction, Starting Lineups and Betting Tips

The Mercury-Aces contest is set to tip off at 6:00 p.m. EST on Sunday. The live broadcast of the game will air on Vegas 34 and AZFamily. Fans can also stream the game live with FuboTV and the WNBA League Pass.

Moneyline: Mercury (-200) vs Aces (+160)

Odds: Mercury (-4.5) vs Aces (+4.5)

Total (O/U): Mercury (o164 -110) vs Aces (u164 -110)

Editor’s Note: The odds could change closer to the game. The odds listed are as per available information at the time of writing.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Preview

The Las Vegas Aces have had a subpar start to the 2025 campaign, managing just five wins in their first nine games. Despite A’ja Wilson and the remaining star-studded roster being fully healthy, the powerhouse sits only half a game ahead of the fifth-seeded Golden State Valkyries in the Western Conference standings.

Their showing in the in-season Commissioner’s Cup hasn’t been motivating either, boasting a mediocre 2-2 record. Although Becky Hammon’s side remains in contention, there isn’t much optimism following a disappointing loss to the now-eliminated LA Sparks and a narrow 88-84 victory against the winless Dallas Wings.

The Phoenix Mercury, meanwhile, have pleasantly surprised with their performance early in the season. Led by Satou Sabally, they hold a 7-4 record and have the fourth-best win percentage in the WNBA. In the Commissioner’s Cup, Phoenix is tied with the second-seeded Seattle Storm and third-seeded Golden State Valkyries at 3-2.

Their most recent outing on June 11 saw them comfortably securing a 93-80 win over the Dallas Wings, as Sabally led the way with 20 points and 9 rebounds.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Predicted Starting Lineup

Mercury

PG: Kitija Laksa | SG: Monique Akoa-Makani | SF: Sami Whitcomb | PF: Kathryn Westbeld | C: Satou Sabally

Aces

PG: Chelsea Gray | SG: Jewell Loyd | SF: Jackie Young | PF: Kia Stokes | C: Elizabeth Kitley

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Betting Tips

Mercury forward Satou Sabally has been leading her team with an average of 7.8 rebounds per game this season. Although her numbers dipped marginally during the Commissioner’s Cup, she’s still pulling down 7.6 boards per game over her last five outings — still above her rebound prop of 7.5 for tonight. With the Aces missing A’ja Wilson, Sabally should find it easy to dominate on the glass and likely surpass that mark.

Aces guard Chelsea Gray has averaged just 3.3 assists per game so far in the 2025 season. However, in Las Vegas' recent matchup against the Dallas Wings, they played without Wilson, so Gray stepped up as the team’s floor general and dished 5 assists. With Wilson sidelined again tonight, Gray is expected to show off her playmaking abilities and should exceed her 4.5 assist prop.

Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction

The Las Vegas Aces have hit a rough patch over their last three games, falling to both the Valkyries and the Sparks before narrowly escaping with a four-point win over an ailing Wings squad. It's evident the team is not at its peak right now. To make matters worse, they'll be without A’ja Wilson tonight — their leader in points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks.

Prediction: Mercury to clinch a comfortable win.