Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury prediction and betting tips - June 7 | 2025 Commissioner's Cup

On Friday, the Seattle Storm travel to Arizona to face the Phoenix Mercury at PHX Arena in the Commissioner's Cup. This will be their third meeting of the season, with the previous two yielding wins for both teams. In their last clash, the Storm beat the Mercury by seven points at Climate Pledge Arena.

Both teams are coming off wins in their last outings. The Storm beat the Dallas Wings 83-77 at home, snapping a three-game slide, losing against the Minnesota Lynx, Atlanta Dream and the Las Vegas Aces.

Meanwhile, the Mercury beat the Golden State Valkyries 86-77 in their last game, marking their sixth win of the season, They are fourth in the standings, 2.5 games behind the Lynx and the Liberty.

In the Commissioner's Cup standings, the Mercury are third with a 2-1 record while the Storm are fifth, with a win and a loss in two games.

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Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury preview, predicted starting lineups, odds, and prediction

The game between the Seattle Storm and the Phoenix Mercury is scheduled for tip-off at 10 p.m. ET. Local fans can follow the game live on the Arizona Family 3TV and CW Seattle networks.

Viewers online can live stream the game by purchasing the WNBA League Pass on WNBA.com.

Here are the odds listed at the time of writing:

Teams	Spread	Total (o/u)	Moneyline
Seattle Storm	-6.5	o157.5 (-105)	-270
Phoenix Mercury	+6.5	u157.5 (-115)	+220

Note: Odds are subject to change closer to tip-off

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Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury preview

The two teams have split their two previous meetings this season and will look to build on their win in their previous outing.

The Storm are 4-4 in the league, sixth in the regular season standings. A win could see them go fifth and decrease the gap with Mercury to a single game. However, the Storm haven't fared well against top-of-the-table opposition recently. Their latest win came against a struggling Dallas Wings team, while they lost back-to-back games against the Lynx, Aces and the Dream, who are first, third and fifth, respectively.

Meanwhile, Phoenix's last victory came against the Valkyries, who are 11th in the table. Before that, they lost two games to the Minnesota Lynx and haven't faced any top-six team other than the Storm.

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Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury starting lineups

According to ESPN.com, the Storm will be without Katie Lou Samuelson.

Position	Starter
PG	Skylar Diggins-Smith
SG	Erica Wheeler
SF	Alysah Clark
PF	Nneka Ogwumike
C	Ezi Magbegor

The Mercury, meanwhile, will be without Natasha Mack, Alyssa Thomas, Megan McConnell and Kahleah Cooper.

Position	Starter
PG	Sami Whitcomb
SG	Monique Akoa Makani
SF	Satou Sabaly
PF	Kathryn Westbled
C	Murjanatu Musa

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Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury betting tips

Nneka Ogwumike will be a favored pick for the Storm, given her performance against the Mercury in the last game. She recorded 24 points and eight rebounds in Seattle and has a -110 odd for over 17.5 points per game.

Meanwhile, Satou Sabally will be the favored pick for the Arizona team. In Alyssa Thomas' absence, she will see more of the ball and has odds of -115 for recording over 19.5 points. She's averaging 20.3 points per game.

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Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction

This is a tough game to call. With the two teams having played each other twice this season, the game could be decided on tactical approach. While the Mercury have homecourt advantage, their injury problems and lack of games against top teams could see the Storm take the win.