Might Fail: A diminished talent pool.
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Simply put, one of the things that brought the XFL down last time will likely cause Vince problems once again; The best talent are STILL going to the NFL, at least for the foreseeable future.
The NFL is a ratings and corporate juggernaut that has existed in one form or another for nearly a century. The best case scenario for XFL is that it will take several years to chip away at the NFL's fanbase, and life isn't generous with best case scenarios.
Most of the talent will still sign with the NFL for the prestige if nothing else. Even if the XFL offers higher pay, the mere brand recognition of the NFL is going to resonate with most players.
Edited by Porush Jain