UFC 186: Johnson vs. Horiguchi - Preview & Predictions

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Bell Centre in Montreal, Canada as Flyweight Champion Demetrious Johnson will defend his title sixth straight time this Saturday night (April 26th, 4 a.m. IST), in the mainevent of UFC 186, against Japan's young & brightest upcoming talent, Kyoji Horiguchi.Here is my predictions for the entire UFC 186: Undercard:PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 4 a.m. IST)Nordine Taleb Defeats Chris Clements via Decision.Valerie Letourneau Defeats Jessica Rakoczy via Decision. Randa Markos Defeats Aisling Daly via Decision. PRELIMINARY CARD (FOX Sports 1, 5:30 a.m. IST)Patrick Cote Defeats Joe Riggs via KO/TKO.Sarah Kaufman Defeats Alexis Davis via Decision. Chad Laprise Defeats Bryan Barberena via Decision. Olivier Aubin-Mercier Defeats David Michaud via Submission. Main Card: (Sony Six / PPV, 7:30 a.m. IST) :-

#1 Yves Jabouin(20-9)vs. Thomas Almeida(18-0)

Stepping into the Octagon for the ninth time, Tristar-trained Yves Jabouin will have his hands full against rising prospect Thomas Almeida. Almeida is one of the top prospects in the UFC bantamweight division. The 23-year-old Brazilian is 1-0 in the UFC with a decision win over Tim Gorman, which was the first time in his entire career he went to the cards. Prior to the UFC Almeida had racked up 17-straight wins on the regional circuit with 13 of them coming by way of knockout and four by submission. Almeida is a straight-up killer on the feet. He has extremely sharp, fast, and accurate hands and kicks and he throws with huge power for someone at 135lbs. He has also shown solid wrestling defense, thus he keeps the majority of his fights on the feet.

Jabouin is 5-3 in the UFC the 35-year-old Haitian-Canadian is a crafty veteran who has been around the sport for a long time and who has fought a who’s who of the lighter weight classes. He is known for his striking and has earned 11 career victories by T/KO but the problem with Jabouin is he’s getting up there in age now and his chin, which has not able to withstand hard blows. He has been knocked out brutally twice in his UFC career and four times overall, and as he gets older the knockout losses will probably keep coming.

Jabouin is a good, underrated fighter, but this is a terrible matchup for him. Jabouin is a striker by trade but if he chooses to stand and bang with a young, accurate sniper with the knockout power of Almeida and Jabouin is certainly the best fighter he’s ever fought, but considering the difference in age, chin, and skill on the feet, this is a tailor-made matchup for Almeida to win in devastating fashion and earn himself a name amongst the UFC fans who don’t know him.

Prediction: Almeida wins via TKO.

#2 John Makdessi(12-3) vs. Shane Campbell(11-2)

Makdessi’s three-fight win streak came to a halt after dropping a decision to Alan Patrick at UFC 169. A Muay Thai striker, Campbell makes his UFC debut after finishing his last three opponents by TKO. "Shaolin" has a major opportunity to make a statement to UFC's lightweight division. Fresh off three straight (technical) knockout finishes, you have to believe Campbell's confidence is sky high Campbell should have the edge tactically. Makdessi may be the “Bull,” but he’ll struggle to get inside Campbell’s range. Even if he does close distance, Campbell’s clinch game should provide the necessary counter.

It’s really a very close fight and Campbell is a great opponent and I have taken him to win this fight if this wouldn’t have been a short notice fight against a seasoned veteran like Makdessi in his home town. I won’t be surprised a bit if he pulls an upset here but I have to go with a more predictable outcome here.

Prediction: Makdessi wins via Decision.

#3 Michael Bisping(25-7) vs. C.B. Dollaway(15-6)

“The Count” attempts to bounce back after a submission loss to Luke Rockhold his opponent Dollaway could use some momentum, too as Lyoto Machida only needed a minute to put him away in December. Despite losing to some of the best wrestler Bisping's wrestling is not poor by any means. He has shown good timing with his own takedowns at times, and his ability to defend takedowns and get up after getting dragged down has become excellent. Dollaway's turtle shell, shoulder-roll style may not be a good idea against a pressure puncher like Bisping. If Dollaway keeps his hands in position and has improved his footwork, however, he will have opportunities to land his own strikes, and thus set up takedown attempts against Bisping. Dollaway needs to be opportunistic with strikes, while maintaining his balance and not over-reaching. Then, he needs to get inside and play a pressure, grinding game against the fence to beat Bisping. If he does, Bisping will have his excellent conditioning tested once more and the fight will be anyone's to win.

I favour Bisping here He has certainly faced the better competition between the two, He’s also faced strong wrestlers before, and while they did indeed get the better of him, Dollaway’s ground game isn’t quite as persistent as theirs, nor is it set up by good power striking. Bisping should survive the early onslaught, and then pull away as he accumulates counter strikes, Stablishing a jab and his range and his cardio trumps Dollaway’s towards the end of the third.

Prediction: Bisping wins via TKO.

#4 Quinton Jackson(35-11) vs. Fabio Maldonado(22-7)

Rampage is making his return to the UFC for a second stint after going 3-0 over in Bellator to face Fabio Maldonado who has won four of his last five fights & has a 5-4 record in UFC. “Rampage,” Quinton holds 18 career knockouts and five submissions Maldonado and Rampage are perfect opponents for one another. They’ll stand in each other’s faces, throw leather and neither will even consider a takedown. Both fighters may look forward to this opportunity, but this type of fight benefits Rampage far more. Maldonado may have an iron chin, but Jackson is and will always be a one-punch KO threat. However, in recent years, he's lost speed and apparently a bit of endurance. Jackson always fights gamely until the end, but he does so at just a bit of a slower and less active pace these days. If Maldonado comes out aggressively, Jackson's counter-punching and angling footwork will need to be pin-point accurate. Otherwise, he'll find himself going backwards against a man with more educated and fluid hands, who has an iron chin and who is very hard to put away. Maldonado is resilient and superbly conditioned despite his appearance. If Jackson is in shape and aggressive, he could very well hurt, back up and even take down Maldonado if necessary.

This is going to be a standup war, not doubt about it. Neither guy likes to wrestle , instead they prefer to stand and bang, and that’s exactly how I see this fight playing out. Ultimately it comes down to where Rampage is in his career. I think he will look to prove a point upon coming back to UFC.

Prediction: Rampage wins via TKO.

#5 Demetrious Johnson (21-2-1) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (15-1)

The only flyweight champion in UFC history, Demetrious “Mighty Mouse” Johnson defends his title for the sixth time against Kyoji Horiguchi. The 28-year-old American Jhonson is 9-1-1 in the UFC & Since dropping to 125lbs; Johnson is 7-0-1 and has turned into one of the most Dominant fighter in the world. Johnson has fantastic wrestling that he is able to utilize it against almost all of his opponents, but he also has improving striking and his submissions are becoming a welcome addition to his game. He is known as the fastest fighter in the UFC with a crazy cardio. Johnson is P4P one of the best in the world, who has wrecked every opponent put in front of him at 125 pound division, and at UFC 186 he has the chance to take on an overmatched opponent, pick up another impressive victory.

Horiguchi is 4-0 in the UFC with knockout wins over Dustin Pague and Jon Delos Reyes and decision wins over Louis Gaudinot and Darrell Montague. The 24-year-old fighter from Japan is the top UFC flyweight prospect but is being forced into this title fight very early in his still developing career with Johnson due to a lack of other, fresh challengers in the division.. He is lightning fast on the feet and he throws some extremely vicious kicks that most flyweights cannot take. He also has vicious ground and pound if he can get on top position on the ground. He hasn’t really shown many flaws so far. If Horiguchi can keep this fight on the feet he will have an outside shot of landing a knockout blow, but outside of that puncher’s chance this is a terrible matchup for him.

As far as I m concerned, this is a huge mismatch. Horiguchi is a good prospect, but he’s not ready for this fight and I’d be outright shocked if he found a way to win. I just don’t see how he can win this fight. Johnson is just so good. His wrestling is amazing, his submissions are fantastic, he’s so fast, his striking has improved so much, and he knows how to finish fights. The only way Horiguchi can win is if he catches Johnson on the chin and puts him out, but Johnson is so elusive and hard to hit that I don’t see that happening at all. I think Johnson is going to fight smart like he always does and use his wrestling to take this fight to the mat & get a finish.

Prediction: jhonson wins via Submission.

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