Oklahoma State vs. Sam Houston Prediction, Odds, Line, Pick, and Preview: December 6

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-3) will host the Sam Houston State Bearkats (7-1) on Tuesday night.

Sam Houston State has shown up so far this season, beating Oklahoma and Utah on the road, with their lone loss coming at the hands of Nevada in Reno. The Bearkats use a mix of transfers and returners to get the job done on both ends of the court. Qua Grant, who played in 28 games for the Wichita State Shockers last season, leads the team with 13.1 points and 2.4 steals per game.

Another transfer, Kaosi Ezeau from Kansas State, is averaging 6.1 points and a team-high 4.6 rebounds per contest. Senior guard Donte Powers, one of the longest-tenured Bearkats, joins Grant as the only players in double-figure scoring.

Oklahoma State vs. Sam Houston Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
Sam Houston Bearkats	+9.5	0131	+360
Oklahoma State Cowboys	-9.5	u131	-475

All Lines Provided by Caesars Sportsbook

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Oklahoma State has suffered road losses to UCF and UConn this season while dropping a home game against Southern Illinois in early November. Their defeat to UConn last week came on the heels of a three-game winning streak. Unfortunately, the offense was careless with the ball, turning it over 16 times, resulting in him being outscored 27-8 on points off turnovers.

Senior Kalib Boone had a team-high 14 points, while leading scorer Avery Anderson wasn't far behind with 14. Texas State transfer Caleb Ahberry also sat in double-figure scoring with 11 but turned it over three times in 27 minutes. Junior Bryce Thompson continued his inefficient 2022-23 campaign, shooting 3-of-10 from the field and now sits with a 38% field goal percentage for the year.

ShotQuality Tale of the Tape

Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.

Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions

Sam Houston State

Offensive Key Stats

AdjOFF SQ = 0.98 (238th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 87.3% (185th)

Spacing = 11th Percentile (322nd)

Shot Selection = 7th Percentile (337th)

Free Throw Rate = 22.7% (338th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Midrange = 0.82 (75th)

Post-Up = 0.86 (211th)

Transition = 1.26 (248th)

Cut = 1.01 (286th)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.91 (306th)

Off-Screen = 0.91 (332nd)

Finishing at the Rim = 1.02 (336th)

Defensive key stats

AdjDEF SQ = 0.91 (15th)

Open 3 Rate = 11% (35th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 84.2% (61st)

Shot Selection = 60th Percentile (240th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.09 (278th)

FTR = 38.3% (298th)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 150 Frequency)

Off-Screen = 0.91 (28th)

Cut = 1.06 (107th)

Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.02 (161st)

Midrange = 0.78 (206th)

Half Court = 0.99 (210th)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.99 (221st)

Oklahoma State

Offensive Key Stats

AdjOFF SQ = 1.05 (76th)

Shot Selection = 81st Percentile (60th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.09 (92nd)

FTR = 34.0% (114th)

Spacing = 37th Percentile (217th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 84.1% (264th)

Shot Making = 20th Percentile (284th)

Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Cut = 1.43 (16th)

Post-Up = 0.90 (118th)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.97 (185th)

Midrange = 0.76 (204th)

Transition = 1.28 (218th)

Off-Screen = 0.94 (290th)

Defensive key stats

AdjDEF SQ = 0.95 (47th)

Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.00 (24th)

Shot Selection = 27th Percentile (105th)

Rim and 3 Rate = 89.0% (257th)

Spacing = 86th Percentile (320th)

Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)

Off the Dribble 3PT = 0.92 (22nd)

P&R Ball Screen = 0.91 (36th)

Half Court = 0.94 (53rd)

Post-Up = 0.83 (85th)

Isolation = 0.89 (124th)

Midrange = 0.78 (208th)

Off-Screen = 1.04 (276th)

Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.04 (296th)