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The Utah Utes (8-2) will host the UTSA Roadrunners (5-4) on Tuesday night.
Tuesday will mark UTSA's first and only matchup against a Power 6 school. They most recently lost to an undefeated New Mexico squad 94-76. Freshman DJ Richards had a career day, posting a team-high 20 points in the loss. Former Umass guard John Buggs III added 11 points on 3-of-10 from the field.
Leading scorer Jacob Germany finished with seven points and eight rebounds, ending his two-game run of posting double-doubles.
Utah vs. UTSA State Betting Odds
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Utah, meanwhile, has won four straight, most recently beating the breaks off of Jacksonville State 99-58.
Former Pac-12 All-Freshman guard Lazar Stefanovic dropped a team-high 20 points off the bench. Leading scorer Branden Carlson barely missed his second double-double of the season with 19 points and eight rebounds in the win.
Marco Anthony, who followed second-year coach Craig Smith from Utah State to Utah last season, stuffed the stat sheet with 10 points, eight rebounds, and five assists. Junior guard Gabe Madsen is also starting to turn a corner, finishing with 16 points on 55% from the field.
Madsen has shot over 46% in three of his last four games, although his season percentage is still below 40%.
ShotQuality Tale of the Tape
Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.
Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions
UTSA
Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjOFF SQ = 1.00 (193rd).
Free Throw Rate (FTR) = 39.1 (39th).
Shot Making = 25th Percentile (265th).
Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Off the Dribble 3PT = 1.05 (47th).
Half Court = 1.02 (60th).
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.03 (145th).
Post-Up = 0.84 (251st).
Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjDEF SQ =1.12 (352nd).
Rim and 3 Rate = 83% (29th).
Spacing = 25th Percentile (97th).
FTR = 33.3% (234th).
Shot Making = 68th Percentile (265th).
Shot Selection = 74th Percentile (284th).
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.1 (317th).
Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Cut = 1.04 (67th).
Midrange = 0.78 (187th).
P&R Ball Screen = 0.99 (223rd).
Half Court = 1.00 (269th)*.
Finishing at the Rim = 1.18 (291st)*.
Post-Up = 0.95 (328th).
* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.
Utah
Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjOFF SQ = 1.10 (37th).
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.14 (14th).
Shot Selection = 94th Percentile (21st).
Spacing = 41st Percentile (203rd).
Rim and 3 Rate = 86.6% (213th).
Open 3 Rate = 21.4% (220th).
Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Finishing at the Rim = 1.23 (18th).
Half Court = 1.04 (19th).
P&R Ball Screen = 1.04 (59th).
Cut = 1.13 (164th).
Off-Screen = 0.95 (266th).
Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjDEF SQ = 1.01 (167th).
Shot Selection = 9th Percentile (35th).
FTR = 24.6% (54th).
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.03 (81st).
Shot Making = 25th Percentile (98th).
Spacing = 71st Percentile (274th).
Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Half Court = 0.96 (85th).
Post-Up = 0.84 (95th).
Off-Screen = 0.99 (171st).
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.03 (183rd).
Midrange = 0.78 (214th).
P&R Ball Screen = 0.98 (216th).
* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.
Utah vs. UTSA State Prediction
UTSA is yet to lose a game by over 20 points this season despite coming close against Grambling State and Texas A&M Corpus Christi. However, their two best opponents, Texas State and New Mexico, got challenging games from the Roadrunners.
Expect Utah to get a challenge from UTSA and big man Jacob Germany to contain Branden Carlson somewhat in the paint.
Prediction: UTSA +22.5 (-110)
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