Italy vs Moldova Prediction and Betting Tips | June 9th 2025

Norway v Italy - FIFA 2026 World Cup Qualifier - Source: Getty
Italy will face Moldova - FIFA 2026 World Cup Qualifier - Source: Getty

Italy will face Moldova at the Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore on Monday in another round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers. The home side have endured a difficult run of results in recent games and have begun their qualifying campaign on the wrong foot.

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They were beaten 3-0 by group leaders Norway in their opening qualifying game on Saturday, conceding all three goals in the first half and could have no major complaints about the result after a flat performance on the road. Luciano Spalletti's men will be desperate to get their first win next week as they look to return to the global stage for the first time since 2014.

Moldova, meanwhile, have endured a perhaps expectedly poor start to their World Cup qualifying campaign, suffering a 5-0 drubbing at the hands of Norway in their group opener before losing 3-2 on home turf to Estonia in their second game. They faced Poland in friendly action last time out, losing 2-0, and have work to do on Monday.

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The visitors sit at the bottom of Group I with zero points and will be looking to pick up an unlikely result next week.


Italy vs Moldova Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

  • There have been five meetings between the two nations. Italy have won all five of those games by an aggregate scoreline of 15-2.
  • The two teams last faced off in a friendly clash back in October 2020 which saw the Azzurri run out 6-0 winners.
  • Neither side have managed a clean sheet in their last four outings.
  • Moldova were ranked 154th in the latest FIFA rankings and sit some distance behind their midweek opponents in ninth place.
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Italy vs Moldova Prediction

Italy are winless in their last four matches, with three of those games ending in defeat. They are, however, the far stronger side ahead of Monday's game and should have little trouble winning this one comfortably.

Moldova have also lost three of their last four games after winning just one of their previous five. They are badly mismatched heading into the midweek clash and will only be looking to avoid a blowout defeat.

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Prediction: Italy 4-0 Moldova


Italy vs Moldova Betting Tips

Tip 1 - Result: Italy to win

Tip 2 - Goals - Over/under 2.5 - Over 2.5 goals (Eight of the hosts' last nine matches have produced more than 2.5 goals)

Tip 3 - Both teams to score: No (Both sides have found the back of the net in just two of the visitors' last 10 matches)

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Edited by Peter P
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