Netherlands vs Finland Prediction and Betting Tips

The action continues in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers as the Netherlands and Finland square off in a crunch Group G fixture at the Johan Cruijff Arena on Sunday. Ronald Koeman’s men head into the weekend on a five-game winning streak against Finland and are unbeaten in their last 12 meetings across all competitions.

The Netherlands turned in another dominant team display on Thursday when they picked up a 4-0 victory over Malta at the Ta' Qali National Stadium.

With that result, Koeman’s side are one of just seven nations unbeaten in the qualifiers after at least five matches, having picked up four wins and one draw from their five games so far.

With 13 points from a possible 15, the Netherlands currently sit top of the Group G standings, three points above Poland and Finland, who are tied on 10 points.

Meanwhile, Benjamin Kallman and Adam Markhiev scored second-half goals to help Finland overturn a one-goal first-half deficit and secure a 2-1 comeback victory over Lithuania on Thursday.

This was a much-needed result for Jacob Friis’ men, who had lost their previous two outings, suffering a 1-0 defeat against Norway in a friendly on September 4, three days before losing 3-1 to Poland in the qualifiers.

While Finland will look to continue from where they left off against Lithuania, next up is the challenge of an opposing side that they have failed to get the better of in their last 11 attempts, losing 10 and claiming two draws since October 1951.

Netherlands vs Finland Head-To-Head and Key Numbers

The Netherlands boast a clear upper hand in the history of this fixture, having won 11 of the last 14 meetings between the two nations.
Finland have picked up just one win in that time, which came back in June 1950, when they beat Koeman’s men 4-1 in a friendly fixture, while the spoils have been shared on two occasions.
The Netherlands are unbeaten in their last seven competitive home matches, picking up four wins and three draws since a 2-1 defeat against France in the European Championship qualifiers back in October 2023.
Finland have failed to win 10 of their most recent 13 competitive games, losing nine and claiming one draw since the start of 2024.

Netherlands vs Finland Prediction

Finland have struggled for consistency in the qualifiers and will need to be at their best against a superior Netherlands side, who have enjoyed a dominant campaign in Group G.

The Netherlands boast several world-class players and talented stars at both ends of the pitch, and we see them picking up a comfortable victory on home soil this weekend.

Prediction: Netherlands 3-0 Finland

Netherlands vs Finland Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result - Netherlands to win

Tip 2: First-half winners - Netherlands (Koeman’s men have led at halftime in their last five matches)

Tip 3: Over 4.5 cards - No (There have also been fewer than five bookings in the Netherlands' last five games)

About the author

Joshua is a European and international football writer at Sportskeeda who covers news and match previews. He fell in love with the sport watching Didier Drogba and Samuel Eto’o win titles at club and international level, and his passion for the sport led him to become a professional football writer. He has an overall professional experience of 5 years.

Joshua supports Chelsea at club level, having witnessed a number of African stars break records with the club. Drogba’s equalizing header and match-winning shootout penalty for Chelsea against Bayern Munich in the 2012 UEFA Champions League final left a last impact on him. His favorite player is Eden Hazard and favorite manager is Jose Mourinho, who gave him the most joyous days as a Blues supporter. He believes that Cristiano Ronaldo is unlucky to be born in Messi’s era and favors the Argentine in the G.O.A.T. debate.

Joshua also follows the Portuguese Primeira Liga and the Nigeria Professional Football League and loves to play football during his free time. Having attained a B.Sc. in Petroleum Engineering from the University of Ibadan, he employs his problem-solving skills in crafting articles while doing extensive research to ensure each article is well thought out and crafted.

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