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The Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (5-4) will visit the (#9) Arizona Wildcats (8-1) on Tuesday night. Corpus Christi has faced only one Power 6 team this season, losing 63-44 to Mississippi State in their season opener. The Islanders made the NCAA Tournament for the second time in program history last season, losing to Texas Southern in Dayton, 76-67. All six of the team's leading minute-getters from the previous year return, led by All-Southern honorees Isaac Mushila and Trey Tennyson. Mushila is averaging 15.9 points and 11.2 rebounds per game in the young season, while Tennyson is also in double-figure scoring while hitting over two three-pointers per contest.
Arizona vs. Texas A&M-CC Betting Odds
All Lines Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Arizona made the most out of their one game last week, earning a statement win over the then No. 14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers, 89-75, on a neutral court. Star forward Azuolas Tubelis had 21 points and seven rebounds in the win. Center Oumar Ballo posted a 15-point double-double, and sharpshooter Kerr Krissa had a team-high seven dimes in 4-of-10 from deep. Do-it-all guard Pelle Larsson struggled for nearly a month, but dropped 16 points, four rebounds, and three assists on 56% from the field in the win. The Wildcats slowed down All-American talent Trayce Jackson-Davis, holding him to only 11 points and five rebounds in 32 minutes.
ShotQuality Tale of the Tape
Below, we will highlight essential ShotQuality data for this matchup, including Adjusted Offensive and Defensive SQ, strengths, weaknesses, and frequency. SQppp is a player's average ShotQuality points per possession.
Thus, SQppp = Total SQpoints/Total No. of Possessions
Texas A&M-CC
Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjOFF SQ = 0.99 (213th)
Shot Making = 77th Percentile (72nd)
Free Throw Rate (FTR) = 29.6% (206th)
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.05 (208th)
Rim and 3 Rate = 85.8% (237th)
Shot Selection = 24th Percentile (268th)
Open 3 Rate = 13.3% (324th)
Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Midrange = 0.82 (71st)
Off-Screen = 1.04 (84th)
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.05 (86th)
P&R Ball Screen = 0.96 (201st)
Transition = 1.25 (249th)
Finishing at the Rim = 1.06 (286th)
Post-Up = 0.78 (323rd)
Cut = 0.93 (351st)
Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjDEF SQ = 0.99 (133rd)
Shot Making = 2nd Percentile (5th)
Open 3 Rate = 11.8% (35th)
Spacing = 18th Percentile (71st)
Rim and 3 Rate = 84.7% (76th)
Shot Selection = 57th Percentile (226th)
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.08 (253rd)
FTR = 44.4% (346th)
Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Post-Up = 0.83 (74th)
Catch & Shoot 3PT = 1.01 (110th)
Transition = 1.32 (185th)
Off-Screen = 1.00 (204th)
Cut = 1.15 (226th)
Midrange = 0.79 (229th)
Finishing at the Rim = 1.20 (314th)*
* = outside top 175 but added for matchup sake.
Arizona
Offensive Key Stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjOFF SQ = 1.13 (20th)
Rim and 3 SQ PPP = 1.15 (5th)
Shot Selection = 98th (7th)
FTR = 41.1% (25th)
Shot Making = 82nd Percentile (55th)
Rim and 3 Rate = 90.4% (95th)
Offensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
Finishing at the Rim = 1.27 (5th)
P&R Ball Screen = 1.07 (21st)
Transition = 1.40 (79th)
Cut = 1.20 (85th)
Off the Dribble 3PT 1.02 (98th)
Defensive key stats (inside top 100 or outside top 200)
AdjDEF SQ = 0.96 (79th)
Rim and 3 Rate = 79.6% (6th)
Shot Making = 10th Percentile (40th)
Shot Selection = 11th Percentile (44th)
Open 3 Rate = 30.3% (257th)
Spacing = 69th (269th)
Defensive Shot Type: SQ PPP (Strengths & Weaknesses w/top 175 Frequency)
P&R Ball Screen = 0.89 (12th)
Midrange = 0.72 (14th)
Cut = 0.99 (28th)
Off-Screen = 0.92 (33rd)*
Transition = 1.19 (37th)
Isolation = 0.95 (267th)
* = outside top 175, but added for matchup sake.
Arizona vs. Texas A&M-CC Prediction
Per KenPom, Texas A&M-CC has the 337th hardest strength of schedule. Outside of Mississippi State, where they only scored 44 points, they have not faced a team with any talent like Arizona. They take a lot of mid-range jumpers and shots off of cuts, both strengths of Arizona. It should be tough sledding for the Islanders in what could become a 30-point blowout, making the play the under on the total.
Prediction: Arizona/Texas A&M-CC Under 135.5 (-110)
