Forecasting Ballon d'Or 2018 Voting Results

Step 2 of forecasting - Pattern of Ballon d'Or 2018.

Ballon d'Or 2018 voting pattern employs a selection of 5 players from the shortlist while the FIFA Football awards 2018 had a 3 tier structure. Now let's try to convert the list obtained in step 1 of our forecasting to a 5 tier structure with the Ballon d'Or 2018 weightage (6,4,3,2,1) pattern.

Here is how the results will pan out:

Forecasted Ballon d'Or 2018 Results - step 2

One primary aspect you can notice is that with this kind of weighting structure the lead of Luka Modric over Cristiano Ronaldo increased considerably.

Definitely, this is not the end result. I would expect a considerable chunk of votes of Cristiano Ronaldo which is shown here to spread out to other players favouring Antoine Griezmann, Kylian Mbappe and Mohamed Salah.

Mohammed Salah

Also, even though the 10 shortlisted players considered above will surely have the large chunk of votes, their voting will be spread out over the 5 preferences and not just at the top 3 preferences as is depicted in this stage.