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The Miami Dolphins (5-3) will take on the Chicago Bears (3-5) on Sunday, Nov. 6.
The Dolphins have picked up back-to-back victories after losing three straight games. They won a thriller last Sunday over the Detroit Lions 31-27.
Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa finished 29-of-36 for 382 yards and three scores. His top two weapons, speedster Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, combined for 20 receptions for 294 yards and two scores.
The Bears, meanwhile, were thumped 49-29 by their division rival Dallas Cowboys in their last game. Dallas running back Tony Pollard, who stepped in for the injured Ezekiel Elliot, went nuclear, running for 131 yards and a trio of touchdowns.
Below, we'll highlight the best player props for this mid-Sunday showdown between the Dolphins and the Bears.
NFL Player Prop #1: Chicago Bears Khalil Herbert Over 41.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
This number looks like a no-brainer. Khalil Herbert averages 70.4 rushing yards per game and has continued to be one of the Bears' bright spots in a rather bleak 2022 season.
After being a quality backup to David Montgomery in his rookie season, the Virginia Tech product has played himself into the game plan for OC Luke Getsy. Herbert rushes for 6.2 yards per attempt, the second-best mark among running backs this season.
He has surpassed 41.5 rushing yards in six of his eight games this season. Given the critical fumble-six from running mate David Montgomery, it shouldn't come as a surprise if he does it again this week.
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NFL Player Prop #2: Chicago Bears Cole Kmet Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
The Cole Kmet over prop is more of a game script play, but it also helps that QB Justin Fields is improving as a passer each week.
If Chicago wants to hang with the electric Miami offense, Fields will need to spin it like he did last week, setting a season-high pass completions with 17. Kmet has played nearly every snap, playing well over 90% of the offensive plays for the Bears this season.
After having zero receptions on two targets in the first two weeks, the Notre Dame product has been more involved in the passing game. Given that he is still one of the best pass catchers in the Chicago offense, it makes sense for him to climb over 21.5 receiving yards. It's a feat he has achieved twice in the last four weeks.
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NFL Player Prop #3: Miami Dolphins Jaylen Waddle Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Another player prop that seems too low is Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards number. Waddle has been a menace when Tua Tagovailoa has thrown the ball, averaging 107.2 yards per game when the Dolphins quarterback starts and finishes a contest.
In addition, the Dolphins will play a Bears secondary that is susceptible to the pass, opening the door for Waddle to have a monster game. Chicago will most likely shift their attention to WR Tyreek Hill, leaving Waddle to make plays against lesser talent.
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