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Match details
Fixture: (1) Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien
Date: October 1, 2025
Tournament: China Open
Round: Final
Venue: National Tennis Center, Beijing, China
Category: ATP 500
Surface: Hard
Prize Money: $4,016,050
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien preview
Jannik Sinner will bid for a third title of the season (first on Tour) when he takes on surprise finalist Learner Tien in the summit clash of the 2025 China Open.
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Sinner, the top seed at this year's tournament, has won two of the season's four Slams (Australian Open and Wimbledon) but a Tour-level title has eluded him. He did not play three months due to a doping suspension but has still managed to put together an impressive 41-5 win-loss record.
Playing in Beijing, the Italian has been made to work hard for his wins. He needed three sets to get the better of Terence Atmane and Alex De Minaur, but will look to cap the week off with a good win.
Tien, meanwhile, is in the middle of a transition onto the senior circuit. The 19-year-old has impressive this year despite a modest 23-20 win-loss record. He has made the fourth round at the Australian Open and in Toronto, while also notching up five top-10 wins.
The latest of his victories over the world's best came in the China Open quarterfinal, where he led Lorenzo Musetti 3-0 in the decider when the latter decided to pull the plug on the match. He has also beaten the likes of Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobollit this week.
Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien head-to-head
Sinner and Tien have never crossed paths on the Tour before, so their current head-to-head stands at a 0-0 deadlock.
Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien odds
(Odds to be updated)
Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien betting tips
Tip 1: Result - Jannik Sinner to win
Tip 2: Match to be straight sets
Tip 3: Match to have at least 20 games.
Jannik Sinner vs Learner Tien prediction
Both Jannik Sinner and Learner Tien enjoy playing on hardcourts, but the former does have a clear edge when it comes to generating power off the ground.
The top seed has also been winning around 75% of the points behind the first serve, much higher than his opponent's 65%. For Tien, the key this week has been his aggressive approach on return. He has generated a whopping 41 break chances in his four matches, but has managed to take only half of them. Against Sinner, those numbers will not be enough.
Sinner is known for his clinical approach to tennis. He has stumbled more than usual this week, but should still be feeling confident about his prospects. If he can keep the error count in check, the top seed should be able to fend off the teenager.
Prediction: Sinner in two tight sets
