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Match Details
Fixture: (16) Daniil Medvedev vs (7) Alex de Minaur
Date: October 10, 2025
Tournament: 2025 Shanghai Masters
Round: Quarterfinals
Venue: Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai, China
Category: Masters 1000
Surface: Hard
Prize Money: $9,193,540
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur preview
De Minaur, ranked No. 7, has put together a consistent and impressive 50-18 record this season. The Australian has been one of the most reliable performers on hard courts, winning the ATP 500 title in Washington and finishing runner-up in Rotterdam earlier in the year.
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Medvedev, on the other hand, has endured a turbulent year. The former World No. 1 sits at No. 18 with a 33-20 record, struggling for consistency and suffering numerous early exits.
Despite flashes of his old brilliance, like reaching the final in Halle and a few strong runs at Masters events, his season has been overshadowed by dips in form and on-court frustrations. Still, the Russian remains a tough opponent capable of turning things around when his rhythm clicks.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur head-to-head
Medvedev and De Minaur are set to meet for the 12th time in their careers at the 2025 Shanghai Masters, in the quarterfinals. Medvedev leads their head-to-head 7-4, but De Minaur has closed the gap in recent years, winning four of their last seven meetings.
Their rivalry has spanned multiple surfaces and stages, from the discontinued ATP Cup to Grand Slams and Masters events. In their most recent clash at Monte-Carlo earlier this season, De Minaur dominated 6-2, 6-2. Medvedev, however, triumphed at last year’s ATP Finals 6-2, 6-4.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur odds
(Odds will be updated once available)
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur prediction
After the US Open, De Minaur delivered a strong run of form. He defeated top players like Alexander Zverev and Jakub Mensik at the Laver Cup and reached the Beijing semifinals, where he fell to Jannik Sinner.
In Shanghai, he won three straight-set matches over Ugo Carabelli, Kamil Majchrzak, and Nuno Borges to reach the quarterfinals.
Meanwhile, Medvedev reached the semifinals in Beijing with dominant wins over Zverev, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, and Cameron Norrie, but retired in a tight match against Learner Tien.
In Hangzhou, he was upset by Yibing Wu in the quarterfinals. In Shanghai, he advanced to the quarterfinals after wins over Dalibor Svrcina, Davidovich Fokina, and a tough battle against rising American Tien.
De Minaur is poised to edge out Medvedev in a tight three-set battle. With strong post-US Open form, the Aussie's confidence is high. Medvedev, while solid, has shown vulnerability with his recent retirement and overall form.
Pick: De Minaur to win in three sets.
Daniil Medvedev vs Alex de Minaur betting tips
Tip 1: De Minaur to win in three sets
Tip 2: Total games over 22.5
Tip 3: Medvedev to win over 10.5 games
