Estoril Open 2023: Dominic Thiem vs Ben Shelton preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

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Dominic Thiem (left) takes on Ben Shelton on Wednesday.
Dominic Thiem (left) takes on Ben Shelton on Wednesday.

Match Details

Fixture: Dominic Thiem vs (8) Ben Shelton

Tournament: Estoril Open 2023

Date: Wednesday, April 5

Round: Second Round (Round of 16)

Venue: Clube de Tenis do Estoril, Estoril, Portugal

Category: ATP 250

Surface: Outdoor clay

Prize money: €562,815

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel/UK - Amazon Prime Video


Dominic Thiem vs Ben Shelton preview

Thiem is into the Estoril second round.
Thiem is into the Estoril second round.

Dominic Thiem takes on eighth seed Ben Shelton on Wednesday (April 5) for a place in the Estoril quarterfinals.

The World No. 111 brought up only his second win in 10 matches this year, beating qualifier Sebastian Ofner from a set down. That snapped a four-match losing streak for the 2020 US Open champion, having stumbled in the opening rounds at Rio de Janeiro, Santiago, Indian Wells and Miami.

Thiem's only other win this year came at the Argentina Open in Buenos, where he beat Alex Molcan in straight sets. Earlier, the 29-year-old lost in the first round at Adelaide 1 and the Australian Open, as well as both his Davis Cup matches against Croatia. The Austrian is now 1-1 in Estoril, having lost in the first round on his tournament debut last year.

Meanwhile, the 39th-ranked Shelton improved to 7-6 on the season by beating Frenchman Constant Lestienne in straight sets in the first round. It was only his second win in six matches since making a fairytale run to the Australian Open quarterfinals, where he lost to compatriot Tommy Paul.

Since then, the 20-year-old American has lost in the opening round in Delray Beach, Acapulco and Miami and reached the Indian Wells second round. Making his Estoril debut, Shelton is now 1-0 on clay and 10-9 in his young career across surfaces.


Dominic Thiem vs Ben Shelton head-to-head

The two players haven't met before on tour, so their head-to-head record stands at 0-0.


Dominic Thiem vs Ben Shelton odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games (over/under)
Dominic Thiem-150-1.5 (+155)Over 22.5 (-125)
Ben Shelton+115+1.5 (-225)Under 22.5 (-110)

(All odds as per BETMGM)


Dominic Thiem vs Ben Shelton prediction

Shelton will look for his second win on clay on Wednesday.
Shelton will look for his second win on clay on Wednesday.

Thiem and Shelton look to dominate opponents from the back of the court but are way apart in terms of pedigree and experience, especially on clay.

While Shelton tends to play his best tennis on hardcourts, Thiem was one of the best players on clay before his recent injury. The Austrian - with his signature single-handed backhand - can carve out impossible angles when on song.

Thiem is a two-time Roland Garros runner-up and has won 10 of his 17 singles titles on clay. Shelton, by contrast, is a relative greenhorn but will fancy his chances against his illustrious opponent.

However, despite his wretched start to the season, Thiem should have enough in the arsenal to beat the American left-hander and reach his first quarterfinal since 2022 Antwerp.

Pick: Thiem in three sets

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