Italian Open 2025: Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan Thompson preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, and pick

Brandon Nakashima (L) and Jordan Thompson (R) (Image Source: Getty)
Brandon Nakashima (L) and Jordan Thompson (R) (Image Source: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: Brandon Nakashima (28) vs Jordan Thompson

Date: May 9, 2025

Tournament: Italian Open 2025

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy

Surface: Clay

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Prize Money: €8,055,385

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan Thompson preview

Nakashima in action at the 2025 Madrid Open (Source: Getty)
Nakashima in action at the 2025 Madrid Open (Source: Getty)

Twenty-eighth seed Brandon Nakashima will take on Jordan Thompson in the second round of the 2025 Italian Open on Friday, May 9. The winner of this clash will face Lorenzo Musetti or Otto Virtanen in the next round.

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Nakashima started the season on a bitter note, suffering early exits at the Australian Open, Hong Kong Open and Dallas Open. He then bounced back at the Delray Beach Open, where he reached the quarterfinals. The American was even more impressive in Mexico, cruising to the semifinals without losing a set.

Nakashima's first clay outing in Houston saw him reach the semifinals. However, he followed that up with back-to-back first-round defeats in Monte-Carlo and Barcelona. The American most recently played in Madrid, where he suffered a fourth-round defeat against Daniil Medvedev. He received a first-round bye in Rome.

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Meawhile, Thompson's 2025 season declined after a decent start at the Brisbane International, where he reached the quarterfinals. In Melbourne, Thompson defeated Dominik Koepfer in the opener before falling to Nuno Borges in the second round.

Thompson had registered just a single win on clay before the Italian Open. Following a late withdrawal from Barcelona Open, the Australian commenced his campaign in Rome with a 3-6, 6-3, 7-6(5) come-back over Giovanni Mpetschi Perricard in the opener. He recorded an 80% win percent on his first serves to overcome the Frenchman.

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Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan Thompson head-to-head

This will be their seventh meeting on the tour. Nakashima leads the head-to-head 4-2 and won their most recent meeting at Wimbledon, 6-3, 6-2, 6-2.


Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan Thompson odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Brandon Nakashima
Jordan Thompson
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(Odds will be updated once available.)


Brandon Nakashima vs Jordan Thompson prediction

Thompson at the 2025 Miami Open (Source: Getty)
Thompson at the 2025 Miami Open (Source: Getty)

Although both players have played each other six times before, this will be their first meeting on clay.

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Thompson should be familiar with the conditions in Rome, having already played a match. However, he comes on the back of an apparent injury. On the other hand, Nakashima will have the morale boost as he holds a healthy head-to-head lead against the Australian.

Given his excellent court coverage and overall superior gameplay, Nakashima is expected to emerge victorious. However, it will not be a straight forward win as Thompson could pose some damage with his precise serves.

Pick: Nakashima to win in three sets.

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Edited by Pratham K Sharma
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