Italian Open 2025: Hailey Baptiste vs Liudmila Samsonova preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction, and pick

Hailey Baptiste (L) and Liudmila Samsonova (R) (Image Source: Getty)
Hailey Baptiste (L) and Liudmila Samsonova (R) (Image Source: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: Hailey Baptiste (Q) vs (19) Liudmila Samsonova

Date: May 8, 2025

Tournament: Italian Open 2025

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy

Surface: Clay

Category: WTA 1000

Prize Money: €6,009,593

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Hailey Baptiste vs Liudmila Samsonova preview

Baptiste in action at the 2025 Madrid Open (Source: Getty)
Baptiste in action at the 2025 Madrid Open (Source: Getty)

Qualifier Hailey Baptiste will lock horns with nineteenth-seed Liudmila Samsonova in the second round of the 2025 Italian Open on Thursday, May 8. The winner will take on Elina Svitolina or Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the next round.

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Baptiste's 2025 clay swing commenced at the Charleston Open. She defeated Olivia Gadecki in the opener before losing to fourth-seed Emma Navarro in the second round. She suffered yet another second-round exit in Madrid, this time falling to Donna Vekic.

At the Italian Open, Baptiste entered the main draw courtesy of straight-set wins over Storm Hunter and Jil Teichmann. She then put on a strong display to overcome Anna Blinkova, 7-6(7), 6-4, in the first round.

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Meanwhile, Samsonova had a decent outing on hard courts this season, reaching the Adelaide International semifinals and BNP Paribas Open quarterfinals. However, she has yet to find her rhythm on clay.

Samsonova made her first appearance on clay this year at the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, where she suffered a first-round defeat against Ekaterina Alexandrova. The Russian earned her only clay-court win this season in Madrid, against Caroline Dolehide in the second round. She then lost to Yuliia Starodubtseva in the following round.

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Hailey Baptiste vs Liudmila Samsonova head-to-head

This will be their second meeting on the tour. Samsonova won their only previous encounter at the 2020 Australian Open, 1-6, 6-2, 6-2.


Hailey Baptiste vs Liudmila Samsonova odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Hailey Baptiste+110+1.5 (-225)Over 21.5 (-135)
Liudmila Samsonova-140-1.5 (+154)Under 21.5 (-110)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM.)


Hailey Baptiste vs Liudmila Samsonova prediction

Samsonova at the 2025 Madrid Open (Source: Getty)
Samsonova at the 2025 Madrid Open (Source: Getty)

Baptiste's preferred surface is clay. She has been promising in recent matches and has yet to drop a set in Rome, including the qualifiers. The American also has the advantage as she is familiar with the court conditions, unlike her opponent.

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Samsonova is clearly the more skilled of the two and has the better overall gameplay. However, she is not at her best on clay. Her recent form on the tour has also been concerning.

Baptiste might well pull off a surprise win if she deals with the pressure well. Samsonova can prove deadly with her powerful groundstrokes. However, given the current form and court conditions, Baptiste is expected to reach the next round.

Pick: Baptiste to win in three sets.

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Edited by Tushhita Barua
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