Italian Open 2025 qualifying: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Rohit
Maria Sakkari vs MAja Chwalinska is one of the qualifying round matches at the Italian Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Maria Sakkari vs MAja Chwalinska is one of the qualifying round matches at the Italian Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (8) Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska

Date: May 6, 2025

Tournament: Italian Open

Round: Qualifying (Final)

Venue: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy

Surface: Clay

Category: WTA 1000

Prize Money: €6,009,593

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel/TC Plus


Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska preview

Maria Sakkari at the Madrid Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Maria Sakkari at the Madrid Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Former World No. 3 Maria Sakkari will take on Maja Chwalinska in the final qualifying round at the Italian Open 2025.

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Sakkari commenced her clay swing at the Charleston Open, going down to Zheng Qinwen in the third round. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro knocked her out in the first round of the Open de Rouen. She had a resurgence at the Madrid Open, beating a couple of seeded players en route to the fourth round.

Sakkari defeated 29th seed Magda Linette and sixth seed Jasmine Paolini in straight sets before losing to 17th seed Elina Svitolina. Despite a respectable showing in Madrid, her ranking had already taken a hit due to her poor results earlier in the season.

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The Greek was thus relegated to the qualifying rounds of the Italian Open. She was up against Chloe Paquet in the first round of qualifiers and staged a comeback to beat her 4-6, 6-3, 6-2.

Chwalinska's time on clay started with her representing Poland in the Billie Jean King Cup qualifiers. She gave a good account of herself in her singles tie but came up short against Svitolina in two competitive sets. She failed to get through the qualifying rounds of the Madrid Open after that.

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Chwalinska took on Yulia Starobustseva in the first round of the Italian Open qualifiers. The latter had reached the fourth round in Madrid a week ago. The Pole dropped a closely fought first set but stormed back to win the match 6-7 (6), 7-5, 6-1.


Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska head-to-head

This will be the first career meeting between them, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.

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Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Maria Sakkari
-450+1.5 (-1400)Over 19.5 (-125)
Maja Chwalinska+300-1.5 (+525)Under 19.5 (-110)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska prediction

Maja Chwalinska at the Billie Jean King Cup 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Maja Chwalinska at the Billie Jean King Cup 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Sakkari's fourth-round finish in Madrid marked the first time she registered consecutive wins this season. After dropping the first set against Paquet in the qualifying rounds here, it looked like her return to form was a flash in the pan. However, she dug deep to get herself out of trouble and across the finish line.

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Chwalinska also staged a comeback in the qualifying rounds to beat an opponent who had recently performed quite well. She will now aim to book her place in the main draw of a WTA 1000 tournament for the first time.

Chwalinska won her first match against a top 100 player at Wimbledon 2022. However, she hasn't beaten one since then, losing her next six matches. Even though Sakkari has been far from her best this season, she should be able to maneuver past the young Pole, given the vast gulf between them with regards to experience and accomplishments.

Pick: Maria Sakkari to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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