Queen's Club 2025: Reilly Opelka vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction and pick | HSBC Championships

Reilly Opelka and Camilo Ugo Carabelli to vie for 2R spot at Queen
Reilly Opelka and Camilo Ugo Carabelli to vie for 2R spot at Queen's Club Championships 2025 | Image Source: Getty

Match Details

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Fixture: (PR) Reilly Opelka vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Date: June 17, 2025

Tournament: HSBC Championships 2025

Round: First Round (Round of 32)

Venue: Queen's Club, London, United Kingdom

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Grass

Prize Money: €2,522,220

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - BBC/Tennis Channel | Canada - TSN+


Reilly Opelka vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli preview

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has compiled an 11-11 win/loss record in 2025 | Image Source: Getty
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has compiled an 11-11 win/loss record in 2025 | Image Source: Getty

USA's Reilly Opelka will face Argentina's Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the first round of the 2025 Queen's Club Championships on Tuesday (June 17).

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Opelka is enjoying a good run on the ATP Tour in his comeback season, having won 18 of his 30 matches thus far (not including qualifying and Challenger-level events). The highlights of the former World No. 17's season include reaching his seventh career singles final at the Brisbane International, and more recently, upsetting top-seeded Daniil Medvedev to record a semifinal showing at last week's Libema Open.

The 27-year-old is making his third career appearance at Queen's Club this week and will be eager to win his first match at the ATP 500 tournament. His first-round opponent Ugo Carabelli, meanwhile, is making his debut at the grasscourt event, having recently enjoyed a rise to his career-high ranking of 51 last month. The 25-year-old was plying his trade on the Challenger circuit until 2024, meaning he will play his first-ever tour-level match on grass this week.

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Reilly Opelka vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli head-to-head

Opelka and Carabelli have never met each other on the ATP Tour, so their head-to-head record stands at 0-0.


Reilly Opelka vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap Bets Total Games (Over/Under)
Reilly Opelka-650-1.5 (-210)Over 21.5 (-145)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli+425+1.5 (+140)Under 21.5 (-102)
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All bets sourced from BetMGM.


Reilly Opelka vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction

Reilly Opelka hits a forehand at Libema Open 2025 | Image Source: Getty
Reilly Opelka hits a forehand at Libema Open 2025 | Image Source: Getty

According to ATP stats, Opelka has won nearly 80% of his first-serve points this year, further attesting to his serving prowess. Moreover, despite towering at 6'11", the World No. 75 is still a considerably good shotmaker and can unload from either wing during long rallies. He can also approach the net off his serves, making him a dark horse to go deep at this year's Queen's Club Championships.

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Ugo Carabelli doesn't nearly have as good of an aptitude for grass since he prefers playing on slower surfaces like clay. That said, the Argentine is adept at percentage play and will look to move his lower-ranked opponent around from the baseline. Although he can take the match to the distance, Opelka has looked determined lately to make his return to the top rungs of men's tennis, making him the firm favorite for this encounter.

Pick: Opelka to win in two tight sets.

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Edited by Luke Koshi
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