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Madrid Open 2022: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Andrey Rublev (L) and Stefanos Tsitsipas
Andrey Rublev (L) and Stefanos Tsitsipas
Vedant Chandel

Match Details

Fixture: (4) Stefanos Tsitsipas vs (6) Andrey Rublev

Date: 6 May 2022

Tournament: Madrid Open 2022

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: Madrid, Spain

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Clay

Match timing: Not before 8 pm local time, 6 pm GMT, 2 am EST, 11.30 pm IST

Prize money: â‚Ŧ6,744,165

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Amazon Prime Video | India - Sports18 & Voot

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev preview

Familiar foes Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev will lock horns in the quarterfinals of the 2022 Madrid Open on Friday.

Tsitsipas, the fourth seed, came into the tournament in fine form, having defended his title in Monte-Carlo and reached the quarterfinals in Barcelona. The Greek has carried his good form into Madrid, scoring resounding wins over Grigor Dimitrov and Lucas Pouille.

Rublev at the Mutua Madrid Open
Rublev at the Mutua Madrid Open

Rublev, meanwhile, is fresh off a title run in Belgrade, where he beat Novak Djokovic in a three-set final.

The 24-year-old, however, has been tested in both of his matches in Madrid. Having managed to scrape past Jack Draper in his opening match, he overcame another Brit in the form of Dan Evans in the third round.

The Russian can almost certainly expect another difficult outing against Tsitsipas on Friday.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev head-to-head

Tsitsipas and Rublev have split their previous eight meetings, so their current head-to-head stands at a 4-4 deadlock. The Greek won their most recent claycourt meeting, which came in Monte-Carlo last year, in straight sets.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games (Over and Under)
Andrey Rublev+190+3.5 (-125)Over 22.5 (-115)
Stefanos Tsitsipas-250-3.5 (-110)Under 22.5 (-115)

(All odds sourced from BetMGM)

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev prediction

Tsitsipas will enter the contest against Rublev as the favorite
Tsitsipas will enter the contest against Rublev as the favorite

Given his recent run of form, Stefanos Tsitsipas will enter this contest as the favorite on paper. The only match the Greek has dropped on clay this year was against Carlos Alcaraz in Barcelona.

Tsitsipas' aggressive ball-striking has proven too much to handle for most opponents, but in the form of Rublev, he faces a player who plays a similar style of tennis.

The sixth seed enjoys taking control of the rallies using his big groundstrokes, but has a tendency to cough up untimely errors. Tsitsipas, on the other hand, is capable of putting more shape on the ball -- especially on the forehand -- making his game better suited for clay.

First-serve numbers will be key as both players win a fair few points behind that shot. Tsitsipas has been especially impressive in that department, winning nearly 90% of the points on his first serve so far in the competition. If he can keep hitting his spots on serve, the Greek could prove too much for Rublev in the end.

Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas to win in three sets


Edited by Nihal Taraporvala

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