US Open 2025: Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishioka preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (17) Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishioka

Date: August 24, 2025

Tournament: US Open 2025

Round: First Round (Round of 128)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, New York, USA

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $90,000,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN, RDS

Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishioka preview

Frances Tiafoe at the US Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

17th seed Frances Tiafoe will take on Yoshihito Nishioka in the first round of the US Open 2025.

Tiafoe failed to register back-to-back wins during the first three months of the year. After an underwhelming hardcourt swing, he tasted success on clay, with a runner-up finish in Houston and a quarterfinal showing at the French Open. His fortunes reversed on grass with a second-round exit from Wimbledon.

Upon his return to hardcourts, Tiafoe reached the quarterfinals of the Citi DC Open. He won consecutive matches on the surface for the first time this year before losing to Ben Shelton. Alex de Minaur sent him packing in the fourth round of the Canadian Open, and he retired from his fourth-round match against Holger Rune at the Cincinnati Open.

A quarterfinal appearance at the Dallas Open remains Nishioka's sole highlight of the season so far. He lost six matches in a row and stopped his losing skid with his first-round win at the Citi DC Open a few weeks ago. He then lost to Flavio Cobolli and hasn't won a match since then, losing in the first round of his last three tournaments.

Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishioka head-to-head

Tiafoe leads their rivalry 3-2. Nishioka won their most recent encounter at the Dallas Open 2025 in three sets.

Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishioka odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap Bets	Total Games
Frances Tiafoe
Yoshihito Nishioka

(Odds will be added once they're available)

Frances Tiafoe vs Yoshihito Nishioka prediction

Yoshihito Nishioka at the French Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Tiafoe has a 12-9 record on hardcourts this year, with half of those wins coming over the past month. He's a two-time semifinalist at the US Open, reaching the last four in 2022 and 2024. He has a 22-10 record in New York, and hasn't lost prior to the fourth round this decade.

Nishioka has arrived at the US Open on a four-match losing streak, and has lost 10 of his last 11 matches. His win over Brooksby at the Citi DC Open interrupted his previous six-match losing skid. He has a 8-13 record this year, with all of his wins coming on hardcourts.

While Tiafoe enjoys a narrow 3-2 edge in their rivalry, Nishioka has won their last two matches. He rallied from a set down to beat the American when they crossed paths in Dallas earlier this year.

However, Nishioka has a dismal record at the US Open, winning only two matches from his prior 10 appearances. He hasn't cleared the first hurdle since 2019 as well. Given his poor record at the tournament, coupled with Tiafoe's strong record at his home Slam, the latter will be expected to make a winning start to his campaign.

Pick: Frances Tiafoe to win in straight sets.

About the author

Rohit is a journalist at Sportskeeda who specializes in covering tennis. Having been with the company for three years, he has proven himself as a formidable force in the field. With a Master's degree in law, Rohit brings his analytical and research skills to the forefront as a journalist. He stays on top of the game by using social media platforms and never misses a match for on-court insights. He values giving credit where it's due, keeping his reporting fair and accurate.

At the outset of his career, Rohit found his niche in writing previews and SEO pieces and it's this expertise that continues to define his role at Sportskeeda. He is particularly proud of one article that garnered an impressive 750k views and surpassed his "wildest dreams." Rohit is not particularly fond of (GOAT) debates and it is one of the reasons why he left the legal world behind. He prefers to view players in "tiers," where they're all esteemed to an extent. However, if pressed to name favorites, he would choose Serena and Venus Williams. The Williams sisters' journey from humble beginnings to the pinnacle of tennis has been his greatest source of inspiration.

When he isn't busy making spot-on predictions about match outcomes, Rohit likes reading, particularly fantasy, sci-fi, and comics. As an X-Men fanatic, he's also passionate about board games and enjoys watching movies in his spare time. And don't be surprised if you catch him silently wishing to the tennis gods for the removal of ad scoring from doubles.

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Edited by Rohit