Match Details
Fixture: (2) Carlos Alcaraz vs (14) Andrey Rublev
Date: July 6, 2025
Tournament: Wimbledon 2025
Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)
Venue: London, United Kingdom
Category: Grand Slam
Surface: Grass
Prize Money: $ 73,463,257.50
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel & ESPN | UK - BBC TNT Sports & Discovery+ | Canada - TSN & RDS | India - Star Sports & Jio Hotstar
Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev preview

Second seed and two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz will look to continue his campaign of winning a hat-trick of Wimbledon titles when he takes on fourteenth seed Andrey Rublev in the third round of the 2025 Wimbledon. He has been in sensational form this year, winning 45 of the 50 matches he has played, with titles in Rotterdam, Monte-Carlo, Rome, Roland Garros, and at Queen's Club.
Alcaraz started his 2025 Wimbledon campaign with an unexpected five-set thriller against Italian veteran Fabio Fognini, winning 7-5, 6-7 (5), 7-5, 2-6, 6-1. He then faced off against British qualifier Oliver Tarvet, winning 6-1, 6-4, 6-4. The Spaniard then faced Jan-Lennard Struff in the third round, winning 6-1, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 in a tricky four-set battle.
Andrey Rublev has won 21 of the 35 matches in 2025, reaching two finals in the season. He won the Qatar Open and came second against Flavio Cobolli in the final of the Hamburg Open. Before the Championships, the Russian played only one grass-court warm-up event in Halle, where he lost against Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the second round.
At Wimbledon, Rublev began his campaign with a 6-0, 7-6(5), 6-7(9), 7-6(6) against Laslo Djere in the first round. In the second round, he started slowly against Lloyd Harris, but turned the match around, winning 6-7(1), 6-4, 7-6(3), 6-3. In the third round, he had a straight-set victory over French qualifier Adrian Mannarino, winning 7-5, 6-2, 6-3.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev head-to-head
Alcaraz has a 2-1 head-to-head record against Rublev, winning the last match 6-3, 7-6(8) at the 2024 ATP Finals.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev odds
(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)
Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev prediction
While serving, Alcaraz has won 71 percent and 55 percent of the points behind his first and second serve, respectively. On some occasions, the Spaniard's serve has looked vulnerable, as he has faced 37 break points in three matches, getting broken nine times at the tournament. While receiving, he has a 49 percent break point conversion rate.
Meanwhile, Rublev has an 82 percent and 61 percent win rate behind his first and second serves, respectively. He has faced 17 break points but has shown composure during pressure situations, saving 15 of them. The Russian has a 38 percent break-point conversion rate in his three matches.
Alcaraz is the overwhelming favorite to win the match as he is the defending champion and is on a 17-match unbeaten streak at SW19.
Pick- Alcaraz to win in four sets.