Orioles vs Rays: Game 4 prediction, odds, injuries and picks

The Baltimore Orioles take on the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday in the fourth and final game of the series at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa.

At the moment, the Orioles are struggling and are at the bottom of the NL East with a 31-42 record. Tampa, meanwhile, has been solid, sitting in second place with a 41-33 record.

Let's look at the odds for the fixture and how the action might play out on the field.

Orioles vs Rays prediction

Taking the mound for the visitors is veteran Charlie Morton, who has struggled to keep the runs down this season. At the moment, Morton is pitching with a 3-7 record, along with a 6.05 ERA and 67 strikeouts.

Charlie Morton in action for the Baltimore Orioles against the Chicago White Sox - Source: Getty

Offensively, Ryan O'Hearn, Gunnar Henderson, Cedric Mullins and Adley Rutschman have impressed for the Orioles of late.

For Tampa Bay, righty Drew Rasmussen makes his latest start. On paper, Rasmussen has fared significantly better than his counterpart, boasting a 6-4 record, along with a 2.55 ERA and 62 strikeouts.

At the plate, Jonathan Aranda, Junior Caminero, Brandon Lowe and Yandy Diaz are the players to keep an eye on for the hosts.

The hosts have been the better team over the course of the season and should clinch this four-game series with another win on Thursday.

Prediction: Baltimore Orioles 4, Tampa Bay Rays 5

Odds

Money Line: Baltimore Orioles +120, Tampa Bay Rays -141

Run Line: Orioles +1.5 (-172), Tampa Bay -1.5 (+129)

Total Runs: Over 7.5 (-156), Under 7.5 (+117)

Injury report

Orioles injuries:

Jorge Mateo: 10-day IL (Elbow)
Tyler O’Neill: 10-day IL (Shoulder)
Ryan Mountcastle: 10-day IL (Hamstring)
Cade Povich: 15-day IL (Hip)
Albert Suarez: 60-day IL (Shoulder)
Kyle Bradish: 60-day IL (Elbow)
Cody Poteet: 60-day IL (Shoulder)
Grayson Rodriguez: 60-day IL (Elbow)
Tyler Wells: 60-day IL (Elbow)

Tampa Bay injuries:

Richie Palacios: 10-day IL (Knee)
Hunter Bigge: 15-day IL (Lat)
Manuel Rodriguez: 15-day IL (Forearm)
Ha-Seong Kim: 60-day IL (Shoulder)
Shane McClanahan: 60-day IL (Tricep)
Nathan Lavender: 60-day IL (Elbow)
Alex Faedo: 60-day IL (Shoulder)
Jonny Deluca: 60-day IL (Shoulder)

Expert picks

With the pitching matchup firmly in their favor, the hosts should record another important win on Thursday, clinching the series and decreasing the gap at the top of the table.

Money Line: Tampa Bay Rays -149

Run Line: Orioles +1.5 (-172)

Total Runs: Over 7.5 (-156)

About the author

Raghav Mehta is a baseball journalist at Sportskeeda awaiting results for a Bachelor's in Journalism from Delhi University. He enjoys highlighting the key battles between players at different stages of the game and analyzing the decisive moments upon which they hinge.

One of Raghav's favorite moments, which underscores this, was the Shohei Ohtani vs. Mike Trout clash in the 2023 WBC, where two of baseball's best players faced off against each other in the 9th inning. With the score 3-2 to Japan, Shohei eventually got the strikeout, which was absolute cinema.

Raghav is a Baltimore Orioles fan and is enjoying watching such an exciting young team compete at the top in a very competitive division.

Raghav has loved watching sports for as long as he can remember and realized he was pretty decent at writing his thoughts down at around the age of 14. Combining the two meant he had something he would enjoy doing every day, and he had identified that well before going to college.

Aside from work, Raghav enjoys playing sports, working out and watching movies.

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Edited by Ribin Peter

Orioles vs Rays: Game 4 prediction, odds, injuries and picks - June 19, 2025