Phillies vs. Braves: Game 3 prediction, odds, injuries and picks - June 29, 2025

MLB: JUN 28 Phillies at Braves - Source: Getty
MLB: JUN 28 Phillies at Braves - Source: Getty

After the shellacking that they suffered in the opening contest, the Atlanta Braves bounced back yesterday with a commanding 6-1 victory over their NL East rival, the Philadelphia Phillies. Atlanta out-hit Philadelphia, 13-4, as the former claimed the dub on the back of a brilliant outing from starter Spencer Schwellenbach.

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For the winner-take-all Game 3, the Braves will start All-Star Spencer Strider. The hurler has yet to establish dominance due to injuries but has tallied a decent 3-5 record with a 4.07 ERA across eight starts. He will face off against the red-hot Ranger Suarez, who has posted a 6-2 record with a 2.08 ERA across 10 appearances.


Phillies vs. Braves recent form and records

After the Mets' recent skid, the Phillies have snagged the top spot in the National League East. Philly holds a 48-35 record and has impressed on the road with a 22-21 tally. With that being said, the team is still not out of the woods yet as it has largely struggled this month with a 12-13 record with the absence of superstar Bryce Harper.

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On the other hand, Atlanta is tucked in third place in the same division with a 38-44 record. In spite of their struggles, they've maintained a superb home record at 23-16 and have won seven of their last 12 games.


Phillies vs. Braves odds

Money Line: PHI (+124), ATL (-139)

Run Spread: PHI +1.5 (-172), ATL -1.5 (+145)

Total Runs: O 8.5 (-104), U 8.5 (-113)


Phillies vs. Braves injuries

PHI injury report

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  • Aaron Nola (SP): 15-day IL (ankle)
  • Bryce Harper (1B): 10-day IL (wrist)
  • Christian McGowan: out for the season (elbow)

ATL injury report

  • Chris Sale (SP): 15-day IL (rib)
  • AJ Smith-Shawver: 60-day IL (torn UCL)
  • Daysbel Hernandez (RP): 15-day IL (forearm)
  • Reynaldo Lopez (SP): 60-day IL (shoulder)
  • Joe Gimenez (RP): 60-day IL (knee)
  • Royber Salinas: (RP): Day-to-day (shoulder)

Phillies vs. Braves projected lineup

PHI projected lineup

  • Trea Turner (SS)
  • Kyle Schwarber (DH)
  • Alec Bohm (3B)
  • Nick Castellanos (RF)
  • Max Kepler (LF)
  • J.T. Realmuto (C)
  • Bryson Stott (2B)
  • Otto Kemp (1B)
  • Brandon Marsh (CF)
  • Ranger Suarez (SP, 6-2 | 2.08 ERA | 59 K)
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ATL starting lineup

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. (RF)
  • Eli White (LF)
  • Matt Olson (1B)
  • Austin Riley (3B)
  • Marcell Ozuna (DH)
  • Ozzie Albies (2B)
  • Sean Murphy (C)
  • Michael Harris II (CF)
  • Nick Allen (SS)
  • Spencer Strider (SP, 3-5 | 4.07 ERA | 53 K)

Phillies vs. Braves picks and game prediction

The rubber match between the rivals should see only a few runs scored, given the pedigree and form of both starters. Ranger Suarez and Spencer Strider should keep the over/under line to a minimum, thus making the unders a desirable bet. Still, the Phillies should clutch out a win over their rivals on the road.

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Run Line: PHI +1.5 (-172)

Total Runs: U 8.5 (-113)

Prediction: PHI wins, 3-2

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Edited by Daniel Santiago
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