Yankees vs. Red Sox: Game 3 prediction, odds, injuries, and picks - September 14, 2025

The Red Sox and Yankees complete their newest rivalry battle Sunday night at Fenway Park in a game teeming with postseason significance. Boston leads the season series 8-4 and will start ace Garrett Crochet, who has been MLB's most dominant arm in 2025.

New York answers with Will Warren, hoping to make four in a row for the Yankees with Aaron Judge's out-of-this-world season. With the Red Sox fighting to secure a Wild Card and the Yankees attempting to secure their divisional berth, this night game holds extra meaning.

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Starting Pitchers

New York Yankees - Will Warren (RHP)

Warren enters with a 8-6, 4.22 ERA, 158 Ks in 147 innings. He's shown ace-like stuff with his slider-heavy repertoire but struggled at times with command, as evidenced by his 1.35 WHIP. Facing a power-hitting Boston offense, limiting walks will be critical to avoid crowding the bases.

Boston Red Sox - Garrett Crochet (LHP)

Crochet has been the AL's finest right arm in 2025 with a 15-5 mark and a sparkling 2.57 ERA and 228 Ks. His fastball-slider mix has been too much to bear, and he's kept enemies at bay by restricting hard contact with a 1.05 WHIP. When on, the Yankees will have to grind out every run.

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Hot Hitters to Watch

Aaron Judge - New York Yankees

Judge keeps putting up MVP-type stats, cutting .325 with 47 homers, 101 runs batted in, and an American League-leading 122 runs scored. His plus-power and plate presence are the Yankees' offense's fulcrum, and he's especially intimidating in division games.

Jarren Duran - Boston Red Sox

Duran has emerged as a leadoff star in Boston's lineup, hitting .258 with 15 home runs, 80 run-scoring hits, and 23 stolen bases. His basestealing ability and single-to-multiples hit potential make him dangerous at the top of the order each time he comes up.

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Injury Report

Red Sox

• Brennan Bernardino - 15-Day IL (lat)
• Vaughn Grissom - 60-Day IL (foot)
• Dustin May - 15-Day IL (elbow)
• Jordan Hicks - 15-Day IL (shoulder)
• Roman Anthony - 10-Day IL (oblique)
• Hunter Dobbins - 60-Day IL (ACL)
• Marcelo Mayer - 60-Day IL (wrist)
• Richard Fitts - 15-Day IL (biceps)
• Wilyer Abreu - 10-Day IL (calf)
• Luis Guerrero - 60-Day IL (elbow)
• Tanner Houck - 60-Day IL (flexor)
• Liam Hendriks - 60-Day IL (hip)
• Josh Winckowski - 60-Day IL (elbow)
• Triston Casas - 60-Day IL (knee)
• Kutter Crawford - 60-Day IL (knee)
• Patrick Sandoval - 60-Day IL (elbow)

Yankees

• Anthony Volpe - Day-to-day (shoulder)
• Brent Headrick - 15-Day IL (forearm)
• Jonathan Loaisiga - 15-Day IL (back)
• Clarke Schmidt - 60-Day IL (forearm)
• Oswaldo Cabrera - 60-Day IL (ankle)
• Jake Cousins - 60-Day IL (elbow)
• Gerrit Cole - 60-Day IL (elbow)

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Current Odds

Run Line:

• Yankees +1.5 (−157)
• Red Sox −1.5 (+129)

Total:

• Over 8 (−108)
• Under 8 (−112)

Moneyline:

• Yankees +128
• Red Sox −157

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Final Score Prediction & Best Bets

Best Bets

1. Red Sox Moneyline (−157)
2. Under 8 (−112)
3. Yankees +1.5 (−157)

Final Score: Red Sox 4, Yankees 3