ICC Champions Trophy 2017, Bangladesh vs India Match Prediction: Who will win today's match

Prior to the start of the 2017 Champions Trophy, not many would have predicted the semi-final line-up that we have in store on Thursday. India were favourites to progress this far in the eyes of many, but few predicted their semi-final opponents to come as far as they have.

After losing the first match of the competition to England, Bangladesh had the uphill task of beating both Australia and New Zealand to enter the final four stage. While the game against Australia did not get a result, the match against New Zealand saw a spirited group of men lift their game when it mattered the most.

Struggling at 33 for 4 and needing 267 for a win, the pair of Mahmadullah Riyad and Shakib-Al-Hasan put on 224 runs for the fifth wicket to ensure the 2015 World Cup quarterfinalists moved a step closer to the semifinals.

The dream became a reality the following day, when England defeated Australia, thereby ensuring it was The Tigers who joined the hosts of the competition in the next stage of the tournament.

Extra Cover: ICC Champions Trophy 2017: Virat Kohli congratulates Yuvraj Singh on reaching 300 ODIs

India, on the other hand, will head into the contest on the back of a clinical win over South Africa on Sunday, where it was the bowlers who won the game, delivering on what was a pretty decent wicket for batting.

Not to forget the fielding, who many felt was the weakest element in India's win over Pakistan in their first Group match. But against South Africa, India’s fielding proved to be the difference as three run-outs at vital junctures pegged the South Africans back.

In the three 50-over matches that the teams have featured in major events, India has triumphed twice while Bangladesh has won once, way back in 2007. Can they pull off an upset on Thursday or will India prove to be good and march their way into a second consecutive final?

A close look at the teams’ performances with bat and ball reveals that India has a higher probability of winning the encounter. Here’s a deep dive of the numbers you need to know...

India			Bangladesh
Win Probability* (Based on form and history)	67%		Win Probability* (Based on form and history)	33%
When India Bats 1st			When Bangladesh Bats 1st
Win % batting first	64%		Win % batting first	60%
Win % batting first & scoring more than 300	50%		Win % batting first & scoring more than 300	75%
Team total batting first	286		Team total batting first	270
Top batsmen in 1st innings	Virat Kohli Inns-11, R-619, Avg-61.90, 100s-2, 50s-4 ...Rohit Sharma Inns-10, R-593, Avg-65.88, 100s-2, 50s-3		Top batsmen in 1st innings	Tamim Iqbal Inns-17, R-1097, Avg-68.56, 100s-4, 50s-6 ...Mushfiqur Rahim Inns-16, R-601, Avg-40.06, 100s-2, 50s-3
When India Bats 2nd			When Bangladesh Bats 2nd
Win % batting second	50%		Win % batting second	62%
Win % chasing more than 300	29%		Win % chasing more than 300	43%
Team total batting second	277		Team total batting second	275
Top batsmen in 2nd innings	Virat Kohli Inns-13, R-756, Avg-75.60, 100s-3, 50s-4 ...Rohit Sharma Inns-11, R-499, Avg-45.36, 100s-1, 50s-3		Top batsmen in 2nd innings	Soumya Sarkar Inns-11, R-525, Avg-65.62, 100s-1, 50s-3 ...Tamim Iqbal Inns-13, R-451, Avg-41.00, 100s-1, 50s-3
When India Bowls 1st			When Bangladesh Bowls 1st
Win % bowling first	50%		Win % bowling first	62%
Win % when restricting opposition to less than 300	67%		Win % when restricting opposition to 300 or less	80%
Opposition score batting first	253		Opposition score batting first	265
Top bowlers when team bowls first	Jasprit Bumrah Inns-10, W-21, RPO-4.45 ...Umesh Yadav Inns-7, W-16, RPO-6.86		Top bowlers when team bowls first	Mustafizur Rahman Inns-10, W-24, RPO-4.89 ...Mashrafe Mortaza Inns-14, W-21, RPO-5.34
When India Bowls 2nd			When Bangladesh Bowls 2nd
Win % fielding second	64%		Win % fielding second	60%
Win % when restricting opposition to less than 280	89%		Win % when restricting opposition to less than 280	64%
Opposition batting second	252		Opposition batting second	233
Top bowler when team bowls second	Bhuvneshwar Kumar Inns-10, W-14, RPO-4.81		Top bowler when team bowls second	Mashrafe Mortaza Inns-15, W-20, RPO-4.72 ...Mustafizur Rahman Inns-10, W-20, RPO-4.59

Note: *Win Probability is based on form and historyThe data considers ODI performances since WC 2015Stats provided by ZeLadder, the data platform for amateur and professional sports.