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Match Details
Fixture: (2) Casper Ruud vs (3) Denis Shapovalov
Date: October 18, 2025
Tournament: Stockholm Open
Round: Semifinal
Venue: Kungliga tennishallen, Stockholm, Sweden
Category: ATP 250
Surface: Hard (indoor)
Prize Money: €706,850
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+
Casper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov preview
Second seed Casper Ruud will square off against Denis Shapovalov in the semifinals of the Stockholm Open 2025.
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Following a first-round bye, Ruud beat former US Open champion Marin Cilic 7-6 (2), 6-4 in the second round. He was up against Sebastian Korda in the quarterfinals. The Norwegian started off strong by going 3-0 up in the first set, though the good times didn't last too long for him.
Korda fought back to get back on level terms, and then outplayed Ruud in the tie-break to take the set. The latter wasn't to be denied and turned the tables on his rival by breaking his serve once in each of the next two sets to register a 6-7 (5), 6-4, 6-4 victory.
Shapovalov beat Leo Borg in three sets to book his place in the quarterfinals, where Elias Ymer awaited him. While the two were evenly matched at the start of the opening set, the Canadian raised his level towards the end, bagging the last three games of the set to claim it.
Shapovalov was on the cusp of victory but failed to serve out the match in the second set. Ymer eventually forced a tie-break and gained the upper hand in it to force a decider. However, Shapovalov got the job done with ease in the end, dropping only one game in the third set for a 6-4, 6-7 (3), 6-1 win.
Casper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov head-to-head
Ruud leads their rivalry 2-1. Shapovalov won their previous meeting at the Dallas Open 2025 in straight sets.
Casper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov odds
(Odds via BetMGM)
Casper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov prediction
Shapovalov downed a resurgent Ymer to reach his fourth semifinal of the season. He won 67 percent of points behind his first serve, and 24 winners against 15 unforced errors. Ruud survived a tough test from Korda to make his fourth semifinal this year. He won 79 percent of his first serve points, and blasted 29 winners against just nine unforced errors.
This will be the fourth meeting between them. Ruud won their first two matches, both on clay, while Shapovalov won their most recent showdown in the Dallas Open final earlier this year. All of their previous matches were wrapped up in two competitive sets.
Ruud has a 35-14 record this year, while Shapovalov has a 24-19 record for the season. Both have won exactly 21 matches on hardcourts. However, Shapovalov has lost five of his last six matches against top 20 players, thus making him the underdog in this contest.
Pick: Casper Ruud to win in straight sets.
Casper Ruud vs Denis Shapovalov prediction
Tip 1: Casper Ruud to win.
Tip 2: The match will have at least one tie-break.
Tip 3: The match will have at least 22 games.
