Citi DC Open 2025 SF: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds, and pick

Rohit
Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez is one of the semifinal matches at the Citi DC Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez is one of the semifinal matches at the Citi DC Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (3) Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez

Date: July 26, 2025

Tournament: Mubadala Citi DC Open

Round: Semifinal

Venue: William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Center, Washington, D.C., USA

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $1,282,951

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel, TC Plus | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+, DAZN


Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez preview

Elena Rybakina at the Citi DC Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Elena Rybakina at the Citi DC Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Third seed Elena Rybakina will face Leylah Fernandez in the semifinals of the Citi DC Open 2025.

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Rybakina beat Victoria Mboko 6-3, 7-5 to book her spot in the quarterfinals, where she was up against fifth seed Magdalena Frech. The two were on even terms for most of the first set, until the Kazakh raised her level towards the end. She bagged three games on the trot to claim the opener.

The second set played out almost similarly. The two initially matched each other shot for shot, until Rybakna turned up the intensity. She went on a four-game run to seal a routine 6-3, 6-3 win.

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Fernandez beat Maya Joint 6-3, 6-3 in the first round and followed it up with a 6-3, 1-6, 7-5 win over top seed Jessica Pegula. She took on her former doubles partner, Taylor Townsend, in the quarterfinals.

Fernandez overcame a break deficit in the first set to go 5-1 up. However, Townsend stopped her from serving out the set twice by reeling off the next three games to make it 5-4. The Canadian put an end to her opponent's comeback bid by breaking her serve yet again to clinch the set.

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Townsend led by a break in the second set, and even held a set point while serving for the set at 5-4. However, Fernandez fended it off to get back on serve. While she blew a match point on the American's serve in the 12th game, she came out on top in the ensuing tie-break for a 6-4, 7-6 (4) win.


Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez head-to-head

Their rivalry is currently tied at 1-1. Fernandez won their previous meeting at the Cincinnati Open 2024 in three sets.

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Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Elena Rybakina-350+1.5 (-1100)Over 20.5 (-130)
Leylah Fernandez+260-1.5 (+475)Under 20.5 (-110)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez prediction

Leylah Fernandez at the Citi DC Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Leylah Fernandez at the Citi DC Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Fernandez survived a spirited challenge from Townsend to reach her first semifinal of the season. Rybakina outplayed Frech with ease to reach her fifth semifinal of the year. She won 84 percent of her first serve points and didn't lose her serve even once in the previous round.

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Both of Fernandez's and Rybakina's previous matches were contested last year, and both on hardcourts. Each player has one win over the other. Their most recent contest in Cincinnati was memorable for the wrong reasons. They hit a combined 30 double faults and struggled during their service games.

Both of them have played miles better at the Citi DC Open. However, Fernandez was seen cramping towards the end of her match against Townsend, and she also injured her ankle. Depending on the severity of the injury, she could be at a disadvantage. Rybakina's form, coupled with her opponent's injury scare, makes her the favorite to win this match.

Pick: Elena Rybakina to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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