French Open 2025 Final: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick | Roland Garros

Rohit
Jannik Sinner will face Carlos Alcaraz in the final of the French Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Jannik Sinner will face Carlos Alcaraz in the final of the French Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (1) Jannik Sinner vs (2) Carlos Alcaraz

Date: June 8, 2025

Tournament: French Open

Round: Final

Venue: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €56,352,000

Live Telecast: USA - TNT Sports, TruTV, HBO Max | UK - Eurosport | Canada - TSN, RDS


Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz preview

Jannik Sinner at the French Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Jannik Sinner at the French Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Top seed Jannik Sinner will lock horns with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the final of the French Open 2025.

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Sinner kicked off his campaign in Paris with a routine win over Arthur Rinderknech. He didn't drop a set to reach the semifinals as well, beating Richard Gasquet, Jiri Lehecka, Andrey Rublev, and Alexander Bublik along the way. He was up against 24-time Major champion Novak Djokovic for a spot in the summit clash.

Sinner pocketed the first set courtesy of a single break of serve in his favor. He was on track to do the same in the second set after going up a break. However, Djokovic stopped him from closing out the set at 5-4. The Italian gained the upper hand immediately, breaking his rival's serve in the 11th game to go 6-5 up.

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The World No. 1 served out the set on his second try to take a two-set lead. Both players remained steady on serve in the deciding set, though Sinner fended off three set points on his serve at 5-4. It proved to be a costly miss for Djokovic as the 23-year-old came out on top in the ensuing tie-break to win the match 6-4, 7-5, 7-6 (3).

Alcaraz commenced his title defense with a straight-sets win over Giulio Zeppieri. He needed four sets to beat Fabian Marozsan, Damir Dzumhur, and Ben Shelton, though he made light work of Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals with a 6-0, 6-1, 6-4 win. He was up against Lorenzo Musetti in the semifinals.

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Both players matched each other shot for shot in the first set. Alcaraz played a sloppy service game in the 10th game, which ultimately cost him the set. He led by a break twice in the second set and even served for it at 6-5, but Musetti negated his advantage on both occasions.

However, Alcaraz raised his level in the tie-break to clinch the set. He dished out a bagel to claim the third set, though Musetti picked up an injury in the middle of the set. He eventually threw in the towel after going down 2-0 in the fourth set, sealing a 6-4, 7-6 (3), 6-0, 2-0 ret. win for the Spaniard.

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Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz head-to-head

Alcaraz leads Sinner 6-3 in the head-to-head. The Spaniard won their most recent encounter at last month's Italian Open in straight sets.


Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Jannik Sinner
-105-1.5 (+155)
Over 40.5 (-125)
Carlos Alcaraz
-110+1.5 (-225)
Under 40.5 (-105)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

Carlos Alcaraz at the French Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Carlos Alcaraz at the French Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Sinner has advanced to his first final at the French Open in dominant fashion. He hasn't lost a set yet and has dropped his serve only thrice, twice in the first round against Rinderknech and once against Djokovic in the semifinals. The Serb offered him his toughest test yet in Paris, and he aced it with flying colors.

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Alcaraz's path to the final has been more bumpy in comparison. He dropped a set in four of his six matches here. He was getting overwhelmed from the baseline by Musetti's shotmaking in the previous round. However, he played the tie-break with laser-like precision, and the floodgates opened from there.

Alcaraz improved his first serve percentage and his forehand found its range once again to secure the win. He's through to the final in Paris for the second time. He improved his record on clay this season to 21-1 with his latest win. He's currently on a 13-match winning streak at the venue and on a 12-match winning streak overall, starting with his Italian Open triumph.

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The Spaniard beat Sinner for the fourth consecutive time in the Rome final. The duo also contested a thrilling semifinal in Paris last year, with Alcaraz overcoming a two-set-to-one deficit to win the match. Given the Italian's form, this meeting could go down to the wire. Both have a perfect winning record in Major finals so far, though that's about to change for one player.

Alcaraz remains the only puzzle Sinner has had to solve since his ascension to the top. The latter's pinpoint shotmaking and sharp serving usually overwhelm his opponents. However, the Spaniard has remained immune to these tactics in their past few matches.

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Alcaraz has been able to dismantle Sinner's game with a steady mix of athleticism, variety, and his own brand of aggressive tennis. A dip in focus, like in the previous rounds, could prove costly for the defending champion. However, with his results on clay and record in this rivalry, the Spaniard remains the favorite to hoist the winner's trophy on Sunday.

Pick: Carlos Alcaraz to win in five sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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