Madrid Open 2024: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro, 2024 Mutua Madrid Open R2
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro, 2024 Mutua Madrid Open R2

Match Details

Fixture: (6) Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro

Date: Saturday, April 27

Tournament: Mutua Madrid Open

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: La Caja Magica, Madrid, Spain

Category: ATP 1000

Surface: Clay (Outdoor)

Prize Money: $7,877,020

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro preview

Stefanos Tsitsipas poses with the 2024 Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters
Stefanos Tsitsipas poses with the 2024 Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters

Sixth seed Stefanos Tsitsipas is slated to kick off his Madrid campaign against Thiago Monteiro in round two on Saturday, April 27.

Tsitsipas began the year at the Australian Open, where Taylor Fritz shocked him in the fourth round in an enthralling four-set contest. He reached the semi-finals at the Los Cabos Open but lost to Casper Ruud in straight sets.

He reached the quarter-finals in Mexico but lost to eventual champion Alex de Minaur despite winning the first set comfortably. Good form eluded him at the Sunshine Double, with him losing in the fourth round in Indian Wells and the second round in Miami.

The Greek turned his season around in Monte-Carlo, beating Laslo Djere, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, Alexander Zverev, Karen Khachanov, and Jannik Sinner en route to his third final at the venue.

He beat Ruud in the finals, dropping just 5 games, to capture his third title in Monte Carlo in as many attempts. He backed that good run in Barcelona, but was defeated this time by Ruud in the finals, in what was a re-match of their Monte-Carlo Masters final from a week before it.

The No. 118-ranked Monteiro, meanwhile, has primarily played in the challenger tour so far this season. His first match on the ATP tour this season came at his home tournament, the Rio Open. He reached the last eight where he lost a tight three-setter to Sebastian Baez.

Monteiro began his Madrid Open in the qualifiers, overcoming the likes of Lucas Pouille and Radu Albot to secure a berth in just his second tournament of the season. He impressed against Dusan Lajovic in the first round, sealing a comfortable 6-4, 6-3 victory.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro head-to-head

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Thiago Monteiro are yet to face off in professional competition and hence their head-to-head currently stands at 0-0.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games (Over & Under)
Stefanos Tsitsipas -650-1.5 (-200) Over 21.5 (-120)
Thiago Monteiro+400+1.5 (+140) Under 21.5 (-120)

(Odds sourced from BetMGM)

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Thiago Monteiro prediction

Thiago Monteiro at the 2024 Miami Open
Thiago Monteiro at the 2024 Miami Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas walks into his encounter with Thiago Monteiro as the favorite to go through, but he can expect a tough fight from the Brazilian who specializes in the red dirt.

Despite plowing through a couple of tight three-setters in the qualifiers, Monteiro turned it up a notch during the first round, dismissing his opponent in straight sets. He served well, winning a whopping 89% of points on his first serve, and was equally potent on the return, breaking his opponent's serve twice in as many opportunities presented.

Tsitsipas, on the other hand, brings his rich vein of form into Madrid, and will be hard to stop if he goes about playing the same way he has been playing the last couple of weeks. The clay quite clearly is his favorite surface and he has reveled in it so far this season.

Monteiro will need to serve well and navigate through the Tsitsipas serve if he is to have a chance of winning the match. It could be another routine victory for the Greek if he dominates play from the baseline.

Pick: Stefanos Tsitsipas in straight sets.

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