US Open 2021: Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori preview, head-to-head & prediction

Match details

Fixture: (1) Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori

Date: 4 September 2021

Tournament: 2021 US Open

Round: Third round (Round of 32)

Venue: Flushing Meadows, New York

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Outdoor hardcourt

Prize money: $40,560,000

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel & ESPN/ESPN 2 | UK - Amazon Prime Video | India - Star Sports / Disney+ Hotstar VIP

Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori preview

Novak Djokovic will meet familiar foe Kei Nishikori in the third round of the 2021 US Open on Saturday.

Djokovic defeated Tallon Griekspoor 6-2, 6-3, 6-2 in his second-round match on Thursday. The Serb was not at his imperious best but showed some improvement from his first-round match against Holger Rune.

Djokovic struck 33 winners, including 13 aces, to keep his hopes of the Calendar Slam alive. The 20-time Major champion also won 80% of his first-serve points and broke Griekspoor as many as six times.

While Djokovic did get broken once, he didn't give much leeway to his opponent in the other games. The Dutchman could manage a meager 29% win rate while returning.

That said, Djokovic would want to reduce his unforced error count as the tournament progresses. He coughed up 20 unforced errors on Thursday, out of which five were double faults.

Kei Nishikori, meanwhile, registered a closely-fought win over America's Mackenzie McDonald in his second-round fixture. Nishikori led by two sets to love but lost his way as Mcdonald leveled the match with some tremendous counterpunching.

But the Japanese pulled up his socks in the decider to come out on top with a 7-6(3), 6-3, 6-7(5), 2-6, 6-3 scoreline.

Kei Nishikori will have his task cut out against Novak Djokovic

Nishikori spent nearly four hours on the court, during which he struck 45 winners while making 57 unforced errors. Interestingly, McDonald hit the same number of winners and committed three fewer unforced errors.

The two players broke the other's serve eight times each, indicating the closeness of the affair. What tilted the scales in Nishikori's favor was that he landed more first serves in the decider, while also conjuring up almost twice the number of winners as his counterpart.

Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori head-to-head

Novak Djokovic leads Kei Nishikori by a whopping margin of 17-2 in the head-to-head. Nishikori has, however, beaten the Serb at the US Open before; the Japanese won a four-set semifinal at the 2014 US Open.

Since then, Djokovic has registered 16 straight victories against Nishikori, including one at the recent Tokyo Olympics.

Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori prediction

Style-wise, Kei Nishikori is somewhat similar to Novak Djokovic. Both players are incredible athletes and returners, and boast remarkable accuracy on their groundstrokes. They also excel at redirecting pace.

But Djokovic is a cut above the Japanese, for he knows exactly when to take the pace off the ball and when to pull the trigger.

Nishikori doesn't enjoy much success in this matchup because the Serb often feasts on his serve, which isn't amongst the best in the business. And given how well Djokovic has been serving lately, it looks unlikely that the 2014 US Open runner-up will get anything out of this contest.

Prediction: Novak Djokovic to win in straight sets.