Mets vs Red Sox: Game 1 prediction, odds, injuries, and picks

The New York Mets and Boston Red Sox will begin a three-game set on Monday at 6:45 p.m. EDT. These two teams have not faced each other yet this season, so it will be their first interleague matchup against one another in 2025.

Mets vs. Red Sox Recent Form and Records

The Red Sox are 23-25, five games back of first place in the AL East. They're coming off a series loss to the Atlanta Braves. Boston is 4-6 in its last 10 games.

The Mets are 29-18 and remain in possession of first place in the NL East by half a game. They are coming off a series loss to the New York Yankees, but they're still 6-4 in their last 10 contests.

Players to Watch

Starting Pitchers

Kodai Senga (4-2, 1.02 ERA, 42 strikeouts) vs. Hunter Dobbins (2-1, 3.90 ERA, 23 strikeouts)

Kodai Senga was 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA, 0.56 WHIP, and nine strikeouts in 5.1 innings pitched last year. He made just one start due to injury.

Last Start: 5.2 innings, five hits, one unearned run, two walks, and seven strikeouts

Career vs. Red Sox: N/A

Hunter Dobbins is in his first year of MLB action. He has a 1.30 WHIP and has recorded those 23 strikeouts in 27.2 innings of work.

Last Start: Five innings, nine hits, five earned runs, no walks, and four strikeouts

Career vs. Mets: N/A

Must-watch Hitters

Mets

Pete Alonso is still having a career year. He's leading the team with a .301 batting average, .406 OBP and has 37 RBIs. He also has nine home runs.

Francisco Lindor has nine home runs as well to tie for the team lead. Lindor is also hitting .283 but leads the Mets with 53 total hits.

Red Sox

Alex Bregman continues to be the Red Sox's leading hitter. He's hitting .303 with 11 home runs, 34 RBIs and 56 total hits.

Alex Bregman has been hitting well (Imagn)

Rafael Devers has heated up. He now owns a team-best .404 on-base percentage and has 38 RBIs to top all Sox hitters.

Injuries

The latest Red Sox update states that Tanner Houck was shut down from his throwing program on the IL. For the Mets, Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas are throwing bullpens and are continuing their rehab.

Mets vs Red Sox Baseball Betting Odds

Moneyline	Spread	Total
Mets -130	Mets -1.5 (+120)	Over 9 (-120)
Red Sox +110	Red Sox +1.5 (-145)	Under 9 (+100)

Mets vs. Red Sox Expert Predictions

The pitching matchup in this one leans heavily toward the Mets, as Kodai Senga is having a phenomenal season. Hunter Dobbins has been solid in his brief MLB career, but Senga definitely has the edge.

On offense, this is a fairly even matchup, though the Mets have performed better this year. They've got players like Juan Soto and Pete Alonso, and while the Red Sox have a capable offense, it's not quite on the same level.

Prediction: Mets 6, Red Sox 4

About the author

Zachary is a journalist covering NFL, Professional Golf, esports, and Major League Baseball at Sportskeeda. He has a degree in writing/editing from Southern Adventist University (USA), and in his spare time, he likes to play games such as Minecraft, Pokémon and Fortnite, or watch sports.

Ever since he was a youth football wide receiver, Zachary has been an avid NFL fan. He loves the Carolina Panthers, with Cam Newton being his all-time favorite player (with respect to the close second, Steve Smith). If you ever meet Zachary, prepare to hear all about how underrated Newton was and how he single-handedly dragged the Panthers to Super Bowl 50.

Zachary is also a big fan of top golfers like Tiger Woods, Wyndham Clark, and Scottie Scheffler. He enjoys watching them and hopes that Woods can return to form soon and win again.

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Edited by Rajdeep Barman

Mets vs Red Sox: Game 1 prediction, odds, injuries, and picks - May 19, 2025