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Match Details
Fixture: (9) Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca
Date: October 24, 2025
Tournament: 2025 Swiss Indoors Basel
Round: Quarterfinal
Venue: St. Jakobshalle, Basel, Switzerland
Category: ATP 500
Surface: Hard (Indoors)
Prize Money: €2,523,045
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca preview
Shapovalov, ranked World No. 23, arrives in Switzerland with renewed momentum after reaching the semifinal of the ATP 250 event in Stockholm. He holds a 26-20 record on the tour so far. The 26-year-old Canadian has had a topsy-turvy season overall, including some deep runs and early exits.
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Fonseca, ranked World No. 46, is making an unexpected run into the latter stages in Switzerland. The 19-year-old Brazilian has played and won challengers this year, along with an ATP 250 event. However, otherwise, he has not reached the last eight stages of any event in 2025.
He has amassed a modest 21-15 record this year. In this matchup, Shapovalov’s experience and potent serve should give him the edge over the young up-and-comer. Fonseca is dangerous and improving, but the Canadian’s stronger record at tour-level events gives him the upper hand heading into this clash.
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca head-to-head
The Swiss Indoors quarterfinal between Shapovalov and Fonseca will be their first encounter on the ATP Tour. Their head-to-head currently stands at 0-0.
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca odds
(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca prediction
Since the US Open, Shapovalov has been fairly active on tour. In Shanghai, he defeated Christopher O’Connell 6-3, 6-2 before losing to Jiri Lehecka 4-6, 4-6. In Stockholm, he had a good run, beating Leo Borg 6-2, 5-7, 6-1 and Elias Ymer 6-4, 6-7(3), 6-1 before losing to Casper Ruud 3-6, 4-6 in the semifinals.
At the Swiss Indoors in Basel, Shapovalov beat Marcos Giron 6-7, 6-0, 7-6(4) and Valentin Royer 7-6, 6-2 to reach the quarterfinals.
Fonseca, meanwhile, has been consistent, picking up wins at the Laver Cup against Flavio Cobolli (6-4, 6-3) and in the Davis Cup against Stefanos Tsitsipas (6-4, 3-6, 7-5). In Basel, he defeated Giovanni Mpetshi-Perricard 7-6, 6-3 and advanced after Jakub Mensik withdrew.
In the quarterfinal tie, Shapovalov’s form and experience give him a clear edge. Expect him to win in straight sets.
Pick: Shapovalov to win in straight sets.
Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca betting tips
Tip 1: Shapovalov to win 2-0 in sets.
Tip 2: Total games under 22.5.
Tip 3: Fonseca to win fewer than 9.5 games.
