Mike Evans' fantasy outlook: is he a good pick?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Carolina Panthers
Mike Evans of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers walks onto the field

Prior to Week 10, Mike Evans was dealing with rib and ankle issues, which restricted his participation in practice on Thursday. Evans has been a familiar name on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' injury list this season. Barring any unexpected incidents, he should be ready to go for Week 10.

Evans ranks fourth over the past four weeks in terms of projected half-PPR points per game but only 25th in actual points per game. Even though opponents of the Sunday morning clash will provide a tough test, he is a candidate for good regression. The Seattle Seahawks have been severe on outside wide receivers, ranking fifth in adjusted fantasy points given away to wide receivers.

All said and done, Evans hasn't benefited much from these labels as he has been playing with injuries resulting in him not being featured in the final weekly report. Despite how poorly Tampa's passing game has performed over the past few weeks, Evans will continue to have marginal WR1 cases based only on volume.

Mike Evans' stats and fantasy prediction

Mike Evans is a fantasy WR10 with a 20.3% target share, which is more advantageous than it seems due to the high pass percentage of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as that equates to the wide receivers' 12th-most targets.

The 29 year old ranks 11th in red zone targets and third in deep targets in the weighted opportunity rankings. Even though Evans hasn't yet shown tremendous potential, there is a huge upside to picking him. Four of his eight games have been WR2s or better, and six have been at least WR3. Evans is a WR2 for the challenging matchup approaching this game week.

Evans isn't likely to see a lot of targets, but as long as the offensive play is effective, Evans will be available for your fantasy team as a low-end WR1 or high-end WR2.

The Texas-born lad performed admirably the other week. Despite seeing a team-high 11 targets, he had a 5-40-0 record. Evans spent the entire fifth game without scoring a touchdown, which is unusual for the well-built wide receiver. He has recorded ten double touchdowns in his past two seasons with the team, and it appeared as though he would surpass those totals in 2022. The Bucs' offensive unit has instead had unforeseen trouble.

The wide receiver has been relatively effective this year despite a lack of scoring. He has recorded an average of 77.1 yards per game, his highest season total. Evans has had double-digit targets in three straight games. Watch out for him in Munich!

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