Courtland Sutton fantasy projection: Is Broncos WR a good pick in 2023?

Denver Broncos receiver Courtland Sutton is entering his sixth season in the league.

Last season was not ideal for Sutton, as the Broncos' offense was at or near the bottom of the league in most categories. Yet, Sutton did okay in terms of yards, with 829 on 64 receptions but just two touchdowns.

It marked the second straight season the Pro Bowler had two touchdowns, which could scare off managers in fantasy football.

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Courtland Sutton's 2023 Fantasy Outlook

Courtland Sutton

Sutton and his 2023 fantasy outlook hinge on the Denver Broncos No. 1 receiver, Jerry Jeudy. Jeudy suffered a hamstring injury after a joint practice with the Los Angeles Rams last month.

He might not be able to start the 2023 regular season, meaning that Sutton could be the top target for quarterback Russell Wilson early on.

Sutton was targeted slightly more than Jeudy last season, with 104 targets to Jeudy's 100. However, Jeudy had more yards, receptions, and touchdowns.

Sutton had 159.4 fantasy points last season, which placed him in the top half of receivers.

Should Jeudy miss any time in 2023, Sutton could be on track for a 900- or 1,000-yard season. If Jeudy misses a game or so, expect Sutton to hover around 700–900 yards with double the number of touchdowns.

Moreover, new head coach Sean Payton might want to establish a running game, which could impact Sutton's production.

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Is Courtland Sutton a good pick in Fantasy Football this year?

Courtland Sutton

Under the circumstances, Sutton is a safe pick in fantasy this season. The offense should be better under Payton in 2023, and perhaps Sutton will improve as well.

Outside of Jeudy, the lone competitor in the receivers room is rookie Marvin Mims. Mims was Denver's second-round pick in this year's NFL Draft out of Oklahoma. He could be a player to challenge Sutton for targets and receptions this season.

The issue for Sutton is that he could find himself slipping again if Mims can pose a threat to his No. 2 position on the roster.

All things considered, Sutton has chemistry with Wilson that Mims doesn't have just yet. What makes Sutton an even safer pick is the depth behind him that's not Mims.

In July, Tim Patrick suffered a season-ending Achilles injury. Sutton knows about season-ending injuries, having suffered a torn ACL and MCL one game into the 2020 season.

With a healthy couple of seasons under his belt, Sutton is safe to pick in fantasy this year.

If you are looking to acquire Sutton or any other assets in your fantasy football leagues, make sure to check out our trade analyzer.

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Where should you draft Courtland Sutton this year?

Courtland Sutton

Sutton is listed as the consensus WR40 and the 97th-best player when it comes to Fantasy PPR leagues. The wideout's current ADP is 69.2, meaning he will still likely be on the board in the middle-to-late rounds in most fantasy leagues.

His ADP is similar to fellow receivers Van Jefferson, K.J. Osborn, and Parris Campbell.

Among Broncos wideouts, Jeudy (46.3) and Mims (61.5) have a better ADP than Sutton. Mims being higher than Sutton is not a cause for concern. The rookie is a great player in dynasty leagues given his age of 21 compared to Sutton, who is 27.

Also, Courtland Sutton has been in that ADP range in the past, and fantasy owners didn't get value in return. The dip in ADP means that Sutton has value to fantasy teams when it comes to a reliable skill position.

Broncos tight end Greg Dulcich has an ADP of 60.7, which is similar to Sutton's. Fantasy owners might have to choose between the two, depending on what their rosters look like up to that point in their draft.

Sutton could be worth the wait at his present ADP, as it will be hard to pass up a player who's the No. 2 wideout on their team.

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